Germany Cuts 2026 Growth Forecast to Half, Raises Inflation Expectations

Germany's decision to lower its growth forecast and raise its inflation expectation could have a mildly negative impact on global risk perception. GOOGL appears resilient in the short term, supported by strong technical indicators (RSI 59, positive MACD, trading above both the SMA20 and SMA50). Its 24-hour decline of 0.59% may reflect general market volatility. Consequently, no major movement is expected in the near term; a recovery following a slight correction is likely. Investors are advised to continue monitoring the long-term implications of macroeconomic data.

Germany’s decision to halve its 2026 growth forecast while lifting inflation expectations could keep the DAX under pressure in the near term. A 24‑hour decline, an RSI of 41.7, and a negative MACD reinforce the current weakness. With the SMA20 and SMA50 positioned above price, the short‑term downtrend is further confirmed. Investors may reassess the profitability outlook for German companies, making a continued decline in the DAX over the next one to three days likely.

EURUSD fell 0.3% in 24 hours, with an RSI of 35.4 in oversold territory. The MACD and signal line are negative, and the price remains below the 20‑ and 50‑day moving averages. These technical indicators, combined with the news, suggest that the euro may weaken in the short term. A decline to the 1.165–1.170 range is expected within 1–3 days.

Germany's downward revision of its growth forecast could exert a modest pressure on energy demand. However, rising inflation expectations may support oil prices. Technical indicators show that the price is above the 20‑day moving average and the MACD is trending upward, but the RSI is in an overbought region. Consequently, it is difficult to determine a clear short‑term direction; a slight decline or a stable stance is likely. Over the next 1–3 days, the price is expected to fluctuate within the 100–105 range.