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67/100 Bullish 05.05.2026 · 12:14 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 10 TR

Goldman Sachs Raises Oil Price Forecast Amid Hormuz Crisis

Goldman Sachs has once again revised its oil price forecasts upward, citing rising geopolitical risks. The bank stated that tensions in the Strait of Hormuz threaten global oil supply, creating an effect that could be termed a 'Hormuz shock.' The new forecasts anticipate price increases beyond current market conditions. Analysts emphasized that increased threats to oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz have significantly raised the risk of supply disruptions. This is putting upward pressure on oil prices, particularly in the short term. Goldman Sachs noted that in addition to these geopolitical factors, OPEC+ production cuts are also supporting prices. The bank raised its 2024 average price forecast for Brent crude to $86 from $82, with a similar revision for WTI. It noted that uncertainties persist in long-term forecasts, but the current risk premium is beginning to be reflected in prices. Goldman Sachs added that this revision could increase further if the risk of supply disruption materializes. Investors continue to closely monitor developments in the Strait of Hormuz and changes in global oil inventories. As markets assess the potential impact of a supply shock on the energy sector, Goldman Sachs' move is being interpreted as a harbinger of a new wave of rising oil prices. This is not investment advice.

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

Goldman Sachs' upward revision of its oil forecast due to the Hormuz crisis could support Brent prices by increasing the geopolitical risk premium. Technically, while the RSI at 51 indicates a neutral zone, the MACD line remaining below the signal line points to short-term weakness. The price trading below the 20-day SMA (113.47) suggests limited upside movement. However, the news flow and staying above the 50-day SMA (111.03) maintain a medium-term bullish trend. A short-term upward move is possible, but the 113.50 resistance level needs to be breached.

RSI 14
51.3
MACD
0.42
24h Δ
1.98%

📊 WTI — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

Goldman Sachs' upward revision of its oil forecast due to the Hormuz crisis could increase the geopolitical risk premium, potentially lifting WTI prices in the short term. Technically, while the RSI is neutral at 47, the MACD line below the signal line indicates weak momentum. The price trading below the 20-day SMA (104.61) creates short-term resistance, while staying above the 50-day SMA (103.44) provides support. The rally driven by the news is expected to be limited, likely testing the 104.61 resistance level.

RSI 14
47.3
MACD
0.01
24h Δ
0.93%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

The news reflects expectations that oil prices will rise due to geopolitical risks, which could positively impact energy companies such as Exxon Mobil. Technical indicators also support this view: the RSI at 56 is in neutral territory but indicates an upward trend, and the price is trading above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. Although the MACD line is below the signal line, it remains in positive territory, suggesting potential for a short-term recovery. However, a slight decline in the last 24 hours and the MACD remaining below the signal warrant caution. Therefore, a bullish expectation can be expressed with moderate confidence.

RSI 14
56.2
MACD
0.33
24h Δ
-0.25%

📊 CVX — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

The news reflects expectations that oil prices will rise due to geopolitical risks, which could positively impact energy stocks such as CVX. Technical indicators also support this view: the RSI is at 58, in neutral territory but with an upward trend; the MACD is below the signal line yet in positive territory; and the price is above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. An upward movement can be expected in the short term, but the MACD being below the signal line warrants caution.

RSI 14
58.1
MACD
0.58
24h Δ
0.40%
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