UN: Ship Transits in Strait of Hormuz Drop 95% Due to War

The United Nations (UN) announced that ship transits in the Strait of Hormuz have decreased by 95.3% due to restrictions imposed since the outbreak of war between the US-Israel and Iran. This development is seen as a potential cause of serious disruptions in global oil supply. The Strait of Hormuz is a strategic waterway that hosts approximately one-third of the world's oil trade. This sharp decline in transits highlights the impact of geopolitical tensions in the region on energy markets. The UN report states that traffic in the strait has nearly come to a halt since the war began. Experts indicate that this situation could create upward pressure on oil prices and threaten global energy security. In particular, benchmark crude oil prices such as Brent and WTI are expected to fluctuate amid supply disruption concerns. This is not investment advice.

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 70%

A 95% reduction in transits through the Strait of Hormuz due to the conflict points to a serious contraction in oil supply. Brent crude is trading at $111.12, with the RSI at 42, nearing oversold territory and suggesting potential for a technical rebound. Although the MACD remains below the signal line, news of the supply shock could increase buying pressure in the short term. A breakout above the SMA20 ($113.12) could confirm an upward move. However, it should be noted that geopolitical risks may already be priced in.

RSI 14

42.0

MACD

0.06

24h Δ

-0.94%

📊 WTI — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 70%

A 95% reduction in transits through the Strait of Hormuz due to the conflict signals a severe contraction in oil supply. This could push oil prices higher in the short term. Technically, while the RSI at 38 approaches oversold territory, the MACD remains below the signal line and the price is trading below moving averages. However, geopolitical risks may outweigh technical weakness, suggesting a potential upward move.

RSI 14

38.2

MACD

-0.30

24h Δ

-1.21%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

A 95% reduction in transits through the Strait of Hormuz due to the war indicates a severe contraction in oil supply. This situation could push oil prices higher, positively impacting energy companies like Exxon Mobil in the short term. Technically, while the RSI at 56 is in neutral territory and the MACD is below the signal line, the price above the SMA20 and SMA50 supports upside potential. However, geopolitical uncertainties and already elevated price levels suggest that the rally may be limited.

RSI 14

56.0

MACD

0.33

24h Δ

-0.29%

📊 CVX — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

A 95% reduction in transits through the Strait of Hormuz due to the war points to a severe contraction in oil supply. This situation could positively impact shares of energy companies like Chevron in the short term. Technically, the RSI at 53 is in neutral territory, and while the MACD remains below the signal line, momentum loss is limited. The price is trading near the 20-day moving average and remains above the 50-day average, maintaining medium-term support. Supply concerns triggered by the news may spark a short-term rally in the stock.

RSI 14

52.9

MACD

0.52

24h Δ

-0.11%

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