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85/100 Bullish 05.05.2026 · 16:36 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 6 TR

Kpler: Brent Oil Could Reach $125 if Blockade Continues

Energy markets are focused on the next steps in US-Iran peace talks. Homayoun Falakshahi, head of crude oil analysis at Kpler, stated in an interview with Bloomberg Television that if the US maintains its blockade of the Strait of Hormuz for another two months, Iran's oil revenues could drop to zero. Falakshahi warned that if the waterway remains closed for two more months, Brent crude oil prices could rise to approximately $120 to $125 per barrel. This forecast highlights the potential impact of current geopolitical tensions on global oil supply. The analyst noted that a continued blockade could completely halt Iran's export revenues, leading to supply tightness in markets. This could create price pressure, particularly for countries dependent on critical energy corridors passing through the Middle East. Kpler's assessment comes at a time when investors are closely monitoring developments in US-Iran negotiations. Market participants are evaluating whether a potential deal could normalize supply flows or if tensions might escalate further. This is not investment advice.

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

Brent crude oil has fallen 3.7% over the past 24 hours to $110.53. The RSI at 38.9 is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD remains below the signal line and in negative territory. The short-term 20-day moving average ($112.74) continues to trade above the current price, indicating sustained selling pressure. Although a $125 target is mentioned in the report as a medium-to-long-term scenario, technical indicators point to a bearish trend in the near term. Therefore, our short-term outlook is bearish, though the RSI nearing oversold levels may limit the pace of the decline.

RSI 14
38.9
MACD
-0.22
24h Δ
-3.74%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

The news headline points to a potential rise in oil prices due to supply disruption risks. This could serve as a positive catalyst for energy companies such as Exxon Mobil. Technical indicators support this view, with the RSI at 61.8 indicating an upward trend and the MACD positioned positively above the signal line. Additionally, the price is trading above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. However, due to a slight decline in the last 24 hours and overall market uncertainties, the bullish outlook is assessed with moderate confidence.

RSI 14
61.8
MACD
0.52
24h Δ
-0.19%

📊 CVX — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

The news headline points to a potential rise in oil prices due to supply disruption risk. This could serve as a positive catalyst for energy companies such as Chevron. Technical indicators also support this view: the RSI at 61 is in neutral territory but trending upward, the MACD is above its signal line, and the price is above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. However, given a slight decline from the last close and potential volatility in oil prices, the bullish outlook can be expressed with moderate confidence.

RSI 14
61.2
MACD
0.68
24h Δ
-0.13%

📊 BP — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

The news headline indicates that Brent oil prices could rise to $125 if the blockade persists. This situation could serve as a positive catalyst for oil companies such as BP. On the technical indicators, the RSI stands at 51.8, in neutral territory, while the MACD is below the signal line but near zero, suggesting weak bullish momentum. The price is above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, providing short-term support. However, yesterday's 1.37% decline and overall market uncertainty may limit upside expectations.

RSI 14
51.8
MACD
0.01
24h Δ
-1.37%
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