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74/100 Neutral 08.05.2026 · 22:20 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 6 TR

Kashkari: Iran War Creates Uncertainty in Fed's Interest Rate Policy

The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy is now facing new uncertainties amid escalating tensions in the Iran war. Fed Chair Neel Kashkari highlighted the potential impact of the conflict on inflation, urging a more cautious approach in the Fed’s rate decisions. He warned that inflation risks could rise, reshaping monetary policy. Fed policymakers expressed divergent views in this new risk environment. Some officials advocated for rate hikes if inflationary pressures persist, while others argued that a gentler stance might be necessary to maintain market stability. Market participants believe that these split opinions could lead to greater volatility in the Fed’s upcoming meetings. Investors are closely monitoring how potential rate changes could affect securities markets and currency rates. Kashkari’s warning underscores the significant influence of international conflicts on macroeconomic indicators. How the Fed navigates this uncertainty will remain a critical point for both domestic and global financial markets. This is not investment advice.

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 55%

Kışkıra’s uncertainty surrounding the Iran conflict could raise demand for the dollar as a safe‑haven asset, yet the ambiguity in the Federal Reserve’s interest‑rate policy may also exert downward pressure. Technical indicators show an RSI of 33.8 and a MACD that is negative but close to zero, suggesting a modest short‑term rebound is possible. The fact that the 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages lie above the current price supports the existing downtrend. Consequently, the short‑term (1‑3 day) directional bias is likely to remain neutral, with a slight upside potential.

RSI 14
33.8
MACD
-0.05
24h Δ
-0.41%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

Kashkari's emphasis on the Iran conflict and Fed rate uncertainty could increase risk perception in markets in the short term. Although the NDX's high RSI and position above the 20-day SMA appear strong, the sustainability of the 4% rally is questionable. A slight correction or increase in volatility can be expected within 1-3 days.

RSI 14
78.8
MACD
314.14
24h Δ
4.17%
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