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86/100 Bearish 12.05.2026 · 04:08 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 7 TR

Trump: Ceasefire with Iran on 'Life Support'

Former US President Donald Trump stated that ceasefire negotiations with Iran are at a critical stage, describing the agreement as being on 'life support'. This statement has increased uncertainty in energy markets. While Trump rejected Iran's ceasefire proposal, blockades in the Strait of Hormuz are driving up oil and fertilizer prices. This threatens global energy supply, and the rise in commodity prices could negatively impact inflation data. Market analysts predict that if geopolitical tensions persist, Brent crude oil prices could rise above $90 per barrel. Additionally, the increase in fertilizer prices risks raising agricultural costs and triggering food inflation. Investors expect volatility in energy stocks following Trump's remarks, while the effects of geopolitical risks on global economic growth are being closely monitored. This is not investment advice.

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The headline indicates that ceasefire negotiations with Iran are facing difficulties, which could keep the geopolitical risk premium alive. However, Brent crude prices have edged lower over the past 24 hours, with the RSI at 57.7, remaining in neutral territory. The MACD is just below the signal line, suggesting weakening momentum. Short-term direction is uncertain; positive ceasefire news could push prices down, while escalating tensions pose upside risks. Therefore, a clear directional forecast is difficult to make.

RSI 14
57.7
MACD
0.43
24h Δ
-0.39%

📊 WTI — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The news headline suggests that a ceasefire with Iran is under strain, which could reduce geopolitical risks. This may alleviate concerns over oil supply, creating downward pressure on prices. Technically, although the RSI is in neutral territory at 56, the MACD is about to cross below the signal line, indicating short-term weakness. While the price is attempting to stay above the 20- and 50-day moving averages, selling pressure from the news could test these support levels. The short-term bias is bearish.

RSI 14
56.5
MACD
0.36
24h Δ
-0.95%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

The news headline indicates ongoing geopolitical tensions and a weakening ceasefire, which could push oil prices higher, benefiting energy companies like Exxon Mobil in the short term. Technical indicators support this view: RSI is near 60, MACD is below zero but approaching the signal line, and the price is above the 20-day moving average. However, the price is just below the 50-day moving average, posing a risk of limited upside. Therefore, the direction is upward with moderate confidence.

RSI 14
59.9
MACD
-0.08
24h Δ
1.42%

📊 CVX — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

The headline indicates that ceasefire negotiations with Iran are facing difficulties, and tensions could escalate. This geopolitical risk may push energy prices higher in the short term, benefiting oil companies like Chevron (CVX). Technically, the RSI is at 52, in neutral territory, while the MACD has crossed above its signal line, which could be interpreted as a weak buy signal. The price is above the 20-day moving average but below the 50-day moving average, suggesting potential for a short-term recovery. However, due to the uncertainty of geopolitical developments and the lack of a clear technical picture, the upside expectation can be expressed with moderate confidence.

RSI 14
52.3
MACD
-0.51
24h Δ
0.09%
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