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65/100 Bearish 13.05.2026 · 08:19 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 9 TR

Turkey's March Reserve Loss Hits Record High

Turkey's foreign exchange reserves experienced their largest monthly decline on record in March. The drop occurred as the Iran war triggered a global sell-off in emerging market assets, putting pressure on the Turkish lira. According to central bank data, this rapid erosion of reserves has increased the country's external financing vulnerability. The record decline in March was particularly driven by geopolitical tensions accelerating foreign investors' exit from emerging markets. The Iran war reduced global risk appetite, while the Turkish lira depreciated more sharply compared to other emerging market currencies. This prompted the central bank to use its reserves to intervene in the market. Analysts note that this rapid depletion of reserves increases Turkey's vulnerability to external shocks and limits the effectiveness of monetary policy. They warn that if the war continues, pressure on reserves may persist and the lira could depreciate further. This is not investment advice.

📊 USDTRY — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

The news indicates that Turkey experienced a record loss of reserves in March. This could increase demand for foreign currency, putting upward pressure on the USD/TRY pair. Technical indicators also support this view: the RSI is at 57.8, trending upward; the MACD is above its signal line; and the price is trading above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. While there is short-term upside potential, the move may be limited as the pair is not yet approaching overbought territory.

RSI 14
57.8
MACD
0.01
24h Δ
0.22%

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The DXY is nearing overbought territory with an RSI of 68, indicating potential for a short-term correction. News of Turkey's record reserve loss may reduce risk appetite in emerging markets, temporarily boosting demand for the DXY. However, the overbought signal in technical indicators and the pace of the rally increase the likelihood of a pullback in the near term. Therefore, upside movement is expected to remain limited, and a correction may occur.

RSI 14
68.2
MACD
0.06
24h Δ
0.23%
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