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65/100 Bearish 14.05.2026 · 04:15 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 3 TR

ECB's June Rate Hike Becomes Uncertain

Two weeks after European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde prepared investors for a rate hike, the likelihood of an expected rate increase in June is weakening. Despite the ECB's signals of tightening monetary policy, markets have begun questioning the certainty of the rate decision as economic data and the inflation outlook create uncertainty. Although ECB officials intend to raise rates to combat inflation, recent weak growth data and geopolitical risks are pushing policymakers to be cautious. In particular, volatility in energy prices and a slowdown in global demand increase the probability that the ECB will keep rates unchanged at its June meeting. Analysts note that the ECB has not drawn a clear roadmap for rate hikes and that market expectations are rapidly changing. While Lagarde's previous statements pointed to a rate increase, current economic conditions suggest this step could be delayed. Investors are closely monitoring the ECB's upcoming statements and economic data in the coming weeks. As a result, the probability of the ECB raising rates in June is decreasing, and uncertainty prevails in the markets. More data and signals from ECB officials are awaited for the decision to be finalized. This is not investment advice.

📊 EURUSD — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

EURUSD is trading just above the 20-day SMA (1.17148) but remains below the 50-day SMA (1.17308). The RSI at 47.6 indicates a weak neutral trend, while the MACD line is below the signal line and in negative territory, suggesting short-term downside momentum. News headlines indicate weakening expectations for an ECB rate hike, which could negatively impact the Euro. The 0.15% decline in the last 24 hours already reflects ongoing selling pressure. A pullback below the 1.1700 level in the short term is highly likely.

RSI 14
47.6
MACD
-0.00
24h Δ
-0.15%

📊 DAX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The DAX index closed 0.79% lower at 24,102 over the past 24 hours, trading below both its 20-day (24,120) and 50-day (24,110) moving averages. The RSI is in weak territory at 43, and the MACD is negative below its signal line. Headlines suggesting weakening expectations for ECB rate hikes could add further pressure on the market. In the short term, given the technical weakness and uncertainty, a continuation of the downward movement is highly likely.

RSI 14
43.3
MACD
-67.69
24h Δ
-0.79%

📊 CAC — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

Uncertainty over the ECB's interest rate hike could lead to a loss of confidence in the markets. The CAC index is trading below its 50-day moving average (8106), with the RSI at 45, indicating a weak zone. The MACD line is below the signal line and trending negative, supporting a short-term bearish outlook. However, as the price is near the 20-day average (7990), the decline may remain limited. The news reinforces the current technical weakness.

RSI 14
45.9
MACD
-27.85
24h Δ
-0.39%

📊 EURJPY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

With the European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate hike becoming increasingly uncertain, the Euro's value may experience a decline. The RSI14 value is at 52.65, indicating a mid-level, but the MACD and MACD signal lines are close to each other, which could signal a short-term decline. The 24-hour change rate of -0.0443 also suggests a trend in this direction.

RSI 14
52.6
MACD
0.01
24h Δ
-0.04%
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