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85/100 Bullish 19.05.2026 · 16:52 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 17 TR

Chile Lowers Copper Production Forecast, Raises Price Outlook

Chile, the world's largest copper supplier, has revised its copper production forecasts downward for this year and next. This revision has strengthened expectations of tighter global supply, contributing to copper prices approaching record levels. In a statement by the Chilean government, copper production for 2024 is expected to be lower compared to previous estimates. Similarly, production expectations for 2025 have been reduced. This has heightened concerns that the supply-demand imbalance in the global copper market could deepen. Meanwhile, Chile has updated its copper price forecasts upward for the same period. Rising demand and declining supply expectations suggest that copper prices could maintain their current high levels. Market analysts assess that these developments could positively impact the profitability of copper mining companies. This upward trend in copper prices is becoming more pronounced, particularly due to increased demand driven by the green energy transition and electrification projects. Chile's downward revision of production forecasts reinforces views that supply constraints in the global copper market will persist. This is not investment advice.

📊 COPPER — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

The news that Chile has lowered its copper production forecast and raised its price outlook could support prices by increasing supply concerns. However, technical indicators remain weak: the RSI is near oversold territory at 37.7, the MACD is below the signal line, and the price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. A 2.2% decline in the last 24 hours suggests selling pressure may persist in the short term. While the positive news could offset technical weakness, the price needs to break above the 6.23 level (SMA20) for upward momentum to gain strength.

RSI 14
37.7
MACD
-0.03
24h Δ
-2.23%

📊 FCX — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

The news creates expectations of copper supply tightening and price increases. FCX's RSI at 31.5 is near oversold territory, indicating potential for a short-term recovery. However, MACD and moving averages remain weak, suggesting any upside may be limited. A 10% decline in the last 24 hours could offset the positive impact of the news. Overall, despite weak technical indicators, a short-term rise supported by the news can be expected.

RSI 14
31.5
MACD
-1.43
24h Δ
-10.36%

📊 SCCO — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

The news presents a positive outlook for copper prices, which could support copper producers such as SCCO. However, the stock has declined 9.7% in the last 24 hours, and its RSI of 35.6 is approaching oversold territory. Although the MACD is in negative territory, it is nearing the signal line, which could signal a short-term recovery. While technical indicators are weak, the positive sentiment generated by the news may lead to some upside following the decline. Nevertheless, given the weak momentum, the rally risks being limited.

RSI 14
35.6
MACD
-3.65
24h Δ
-9.72%

📊 BHP — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

The news presents a positive outlook for copper prices, which could support BHP's stock given its significant role in copper production. However, technical indicators are weak: the RSI is near oversold territory at 31.7, the MACD is below the signal line, and the price is below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The sharp 8% decline in the last 24 hours suggests selling pressure may persist in the short term. While the news is positive, the technical picture may take time to recover, so upside movement could remain limited.

RSI 14
31.7
MACD
-1.31
24h Δ
-8.05%
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