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80/100 Bearish 21.05.2026 · 12:44 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 12 TR

IEA Head Birol: Energy Crisis Continues Until Hormuz Reopens

International Energy Agency (IEA) Executive Director Fatih Birol stated that the crisis in global energy markets following the conflicts between the US and Iran is deeper than past shocks. Birol emphasized that the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz to traffic is the only definitive solution to end this crisis. Birol noted that current conflicts have caused a loss of approximately 14 million barrels per day in oil supply. He said this loss has led to a significant contraction in the global oil market and created upward pressure on prices. The IEA head warned that the oil market could enter a critical area he described as the 'red zone' in July and August. He indicated that supply-demand imbalances could become more pronounced during this period and market volatility could increase. Birol's remarks have reignited concerns about global energy security and oil prices. It is stated that if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, the energy crisis could deepen and persist. This is not investment advice.

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The news headline emphasizes that the energy crisis could persist if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed. This geopolitical risk may exert upward pressure on Brent crude oil prices. However, technical indicators present mixed signals: the RSI is neutral at 51, while the MACD is below zero but above its signal line, indicating weak bullish momentum. The price is above the 20-day moving average but below the 50-day average, suggesting short-term uncertainty. The 1.4% decline in the last 24 hours indicates that the news has not been immediately priced in, but the market remains cautious. The short-term direction is unclear, so a neutral stance is recommended.

RSI 14
51.5
MACD
-0.46
24h Δ
-1.40%

📊 BP — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

Although the news keeps geopolitical risks alive, BP shares have risen 2% in the last 24 hours and closed above the 50-day moving average. However, the RSI stands at 46 in neutral territory, while the MACD continues to stay below the signal line. For the short-term upward movement to be sustainable, the 20-day moving average resistance at 45.63 needs to be broken. Therefore, it is considered too early to indicate a clear direction.

RSI 14
46.5
MACD
0.14
24h Δ
2.06%

📊 CVX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The news highlights ongoing geopolitical risks and continued uncertainty in energy supply. While this creates upward pressure on oil prices, CVX stock exhibits a technically weak outlook. The RSI is at 42, below the neutral zone, and the price is trading below the 20-day moving average. The MACD remains below the signal line, indicating negative short-term momentum. Although the news headline is positive for the energy sector, technical indicators suggest that selling pressure on the stock may persist.

RSI 14
42.2
MACD
0.72
24h Δ
0.85%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The news highlights ongoing geopolitical risks and persistent uncertainty in energy supply. This situation could exert pressure on oil prices and negatively impact XOM stock. Technically, the RSI is in weak territory below 40, and the price is trading below the 20-day moving average. The MACD remains below the signal line, supporting a short-term bearish trend. However, the confidence level is not high due to potential support near the 50-day average and the possibility that the decline may be limited.

RSI 14
39.7
MACD
0.55
24h Δ
-0.18%
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