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65/100 Bearish 22.05.2026 · 04:06 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 21 TR

Nomura Revises Fed Rate Cut Expectations for 2026 Amid Inflation Risks

Nomura has scaled back its expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in 2026 due to rising inflation risks. According to Reuters, the investment bank now assesses that the previously anticipated rate-cutting cycle may be delayed or entirely canceled. This revision has reinforced market perceptions that the U.S. central bank will be more cautious in easing monetary policy. Nomura's decision is based on factors such as inflation remaining stickier than expected and tight labor market conditions fueling price pressures. The bank forecasts that the Fed will keep rates at current levels throughout 2025 and may only begin cuts in 2026 if inflation approaches its target. This could create upward pressure on bond yields and cause volatility in equity markets. Market participants interpret Nomura's move as a significant signal regarding the Fed's future policy direction. Technology-heavy indices and the dollar index may be particularly affected by this shift in rate cut expectations. However, it remains to be seen whether other major investment banks will make similar revisions. Investors will closely monitor upcoming inflation data and comments from Fed officials. Nomura's decision may delay hopes for rate cuts for the time being, leading to a cautious stance in the markets. This is not investment advice.

📊 GOOGL — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

GOOGL shares fell 2.73% in the last session, trading at $387.66. The RSI has dropped to 43.6, below the neutral zone, while the MACD remains negative and below its signal line. The price is trading below both the 20-day (387.95) and 50-day (394.38) moving averages. Nomura's revision of its Fed rate cut expectations due to inflation risks could pressure the broader market and negatively impact technology stocks. With weak short-term technical indicators and potential additional selling pressure from the news, the likelihood of continued downside movement is high.

RSI 14
43.6
MACD
-1.44
24h Δ
-2.73%

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The news indicates that the Federal Reserve has revised its interest rate cut expectations due to inflation risks. This could weaken hopes for rate cuts in the market and create short-term uncertainty. However, technical indicators for the S&P 500 (SPX) present a balanced outlook, with the RSI in neutral territory and the MACD giving a bullish signal. The price remaining above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages is also a positive sign. Therefore, the impact of the news may be limited, and the market could trade sideways in the near term.

RSI 14
59.0
MACD
10.27
24h Δ
1.09%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The news indicates that the Fed has revised its interest rate cut expectations due to inflation risks. This situation could create uncertainty in the markets and make it difficult to determine a clear direction for the NDX in the short term. Technical indicators present a neutral picture: the RSI at 59 is neither overbought nor oversold, the MACD is positive but close to the signal line, and the price is above the 20- and 50-day moving averages. Therefore, a sideways trend can be expected in the short term.

RSI 14
59.2
MACD
74.33
24h Δ
1.97%

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The news indicates that the Fed has revised its interest rate cut expectations due to inflation risks. This situation may not provide a clear directional catalyst for the DXY in the short term. Technical indicators suggest a slight upward bias, with the RSI near 60 and the MACD remaining above its signal line. However, although the price is above the SMA20 and SMA50, the magnitude of the change is very small, indicating market indecision. Therefore, a sideways movement can be expected in the near term.

RSI 14
59.7
MACD
0.02
24h Δ
-0.01%
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