Fed Chair Warsh's AI Rate Cut Prediction Reversed

Last year, new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh predicted that artificial intelligence would boost productivity and pave the way for interest rate cuts. However, at this point, AI is having the opposite effect. Contrary to Warsh's expectations, increased AI investments and energy demand are fueling inflationary pressures, weakening the likelihood of rate cuts. The proliferation of AI technologies has led to a surge in energy consumption and investment, particularly in areas such as data centers and chip production. This has pushed up commodity prices and labor costs, raising concerns that inflation may be persistent. In light of these developments, Fed officials have begun adopting a more cautious stance on monetary policy. Warsh's optimistic scenario from last year was based on the assumption that AI would lower prices through productivity gains. Today, however, as AI-driven demand shocks combine with supply-side constraints, signals suggest the central bank may have to wait for rate cuts. As markets price in these new dynamics, expectations for rate cuts have significantly receded. This is not investment advice.

📊 NVDA — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The news is putting pressure on technology stocks as expectations for an AI-driven Fed rate cut reverse. NVDA closed down 3.5% at $212.58, with its RSI at 41.8, approaching oversold territory. The MACD line is below the signal line in negative territory, indicating weak short-term momentum. The price is trading below both the 20-day ($214.09) and 50-day ($218.59) moving averages, which paints a negative technical picture. The downtrend is likely to continue in the short term.

RSI 14

41.8

MACD

-2.12

24h Δ

-3.49%

📊 AMD — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

Although AMD shares have surged over 11% in the last 24 hours, the RSI at 63.6 is approaching overbought territory. The MACD remains below the signal line, suggesting short-term momentum may weaken. News headlines indicate that expectations for AI-driven interest rate cuts have reversed, which could pressure technology stocks. While the price is above the 20-day moving average, it remains elevated relative to the 50-day average. A new catalyst is needed to sustain the short-term rally, and due to directional uncertainty, a neutral stance is recommended.

RSI 14

63.6

MACD

12.08

24h Δ

11.12%

📊 AVGO — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The news headline indicates that expectations for a Fed rate cut driven by artificial intelligence have reversed. This could negatively impact overall market sentiment, but AVGO's technical indicators present a neutral outlook. The RSI at 53 is neither overbought nor oversold, while the MACD is above the signal line but shows weak positive momentum. The price is trading above the 20- and 50-day moving averages, providing short-term support. The impact of the news may be limited, and AVGO's current technical structure could be maintained.

RSI 14

53.4

MACD

1.26

24h Δ

2.02%

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The news headline indicates that Fed Chairman Warsh's AI-driven rate cut prediction has reversed. This could reduce market expectations for rate cuts, thereby exerting upward pressure on the DXY. Technical indicators present mixed signals: RSI at 47.9 is neutral, MACD is below the signal line, and the price is below SMA20 but above SMA50. In the short term, the news may lead to a limited rise in the DXY, but given weak momentum, this move is not expected to be sustained.

RSI 14

47.9

MACD

0.04

24h Δ

0.17%

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Fed Chair Warsh's AI Rate Cut Prediction Reversed

📊 NVDA — Piyasa Yorumu

📊 AMD — Piyasa Yorumu

📊 AVGO — Piyasa Yorumu

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

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