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75/100 Neutral 29.05.2026 · 10:13 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 16 TR

US Stock Markets at Record Highs: Non-Farm Payroll Data and Bond Yields Monitored as Risks

US stock markets started the new week at record highs, with investors focusing on the non-farm payroll data to be released on Friday. This data is considered a critical indicator that could shape expectations for the Fed's interest rate policy. Markets are trading cautiously amid concerns that strong employment data could reduce expectations for rate cuts. Rising bond yields have recently emerged as a significant risk factor for stock markets. In particular, the increase in long-term Treasury yields could put pressure on growth stocks. Investors are closely watching labor market data for signals on when the Fed might begin its rate-cutting cycle. Analysts warn that in an environment of high market valuations, a surprise employment figure could increase volatility. Meanwhile, strong performance in artificial intelligence and technology stocks continues to drive indices to record levels. However, the sustainability of this rally will depend on the direction of macroeconomic data. Market participants are also monitoring movements in the dollar index. A strengthening dollar could negatively impact the profitability of multinational companies. Data to be released next week will be decisive for both short-term trading strategies and medium-term portfolio positioning. This is not investment advice.

📊 GOOGL — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

Despite the broader market trading at record levels, GOOGL stock may experience a sideways movement in the short term due to uncertainties surrounding non-farm payroll data and bond yields. Technical indicators show a slight positive bias, with the RSI at 52.46 (neutral territory) and the MACD remaining above its signal line. However, the 20-day and 50-day moving averages are converging, failing to provide a strong directional signal. The last closing price of $390.17, coupled with a daily gain of 1.47%, suggests potential for an upward move in the near term. Nevertheless, caution is warranted given the potential volatility that macroeconomic data could introduce to the market.

RSI 14
52.5
MACD
0.54
24h Δ
1.47%

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

Despite the SPX trading at record levels, the RSI is above 70 in overbought territory. The MACD is positive but close to the signal line, indicating weakening momentum. News headlines highlight non-farm payrolls and bond yields as risks, suggesting caution in the short term. Being above the 20- and 50-day moving averages is positive, but upside potential is limited. In the near term, sideways movement or minor corrections can be expected.

RSI 14
70.5
MACD
25.43
24h Δ
0.97%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The NDX has just entered overbought territory, with the RSI slightly above 70. The MACD is positive but hovering near the signal line. News headlines highlight that after record highs, non-farm payroll data and bond yields are being monitored as risks. This suggests that while short-term upward momentum may persist, a cautious wait-and-see stance could prevail ahead of the critical data. Although the price remains above the 20- and 50-day moving averages, the overbought RSI and risk-focused news make it difficult to determine a clear direction. Therefore, a sideways movement is expected in the near term.

RSI 14
70.5
MACD
184.59
24h Δ
2.14%

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The DXY is trading at 99.037, nearly flat over the past 24 hours. The RSI is in weak territory at 45, while the MACD remains below the signal line but with a narrowing gap, indicating weakening momentum. The price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, weighing on the short-term outlook. Headlines suggest that record highs in US equities could boost risk appetite, but uncertainty surrounding non-farm payroll data and bond yields may create mixed effects on the DXY. Therefore, a wait-and-see approach is prevailing until the data is released to determine a clear direction.

RSI 14
45.3
MACD
-0.03
24h Δ
-0.02%
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