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67/100 Bearish 05.06.2026 · 13:30 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 3 TR

Strong Non-Farm Payroll Data Raises Expectations for December Rate Hike

The strong non-farm payroll data released in the US has increased the probability of a rate hike in December in the markets. The data coming in above expectations strengthened the perception that the Fed may continue its tightening policy. This led to a rise in the probability of a rate hike for December in interest rate futures contracts. The strong labor market trend strengthens the Fed's hand in combating inflation while shaping investors' expectations regarding monetary policy. Following the data, the probability of a rate hike for December in interest rate futures increased significantly. This development put upward pressure on bond yields while having a limited impact on risky assets. Market participants will closely monitor upcoming inflation data and guidance from Fed officials. While the strong employment data keeps alive concerns that the Fed may continue aggressive rate hikes, investors are expected to reposition their portfolios according to this scenario. This is not investment advice.

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

Strong non-farm payrolls data could curb risk appetite by raising expectations of interest rate hikes. Although the RSI on the SPX is approaching oversold territory at 31, the MACD remains below the signal line and in negative territory. The price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating short-term weakness. The 1.4% decline over the past 24 hours suggests continued selling pressure. However, oversold conditions may limit the pace of the decline.

RSI 14
31.1
MACD
-3.48
24h Δ
-1.40%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

Despite the NDX's RSI being in oversold territory at 26.5, the MACD remains negative and below its signal line. The price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating short-term weakness. The 2.55% decline over the past 24 hours suggests continued selling pressure. Therefore, downward movement is expected to persist in the near term.

RSI 14
26.5
MACD
-34.01
24h Δ
-2.55%

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 70%

Strong non-farm payrolls data reinforces expectations that the Fed will continue raising interest rates, supporting the DXY. Technically, although the RSI is in overbought territory above 70, the MACD remains above the signal line and in positive territory, indicating sustained upward momentum. The price is trading above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, confirming a short-term upward trend. However, due to overbought conditions, there is a risk of a short-term correction, so the bullish outlook should be approached with caution.

RSI 14
70.7
MACD
0.01
24h Δ
0.37%
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