Prabowo's Populist Policies Trigger 'Doom Loop' in Indonesian Markets

According to Reuters, Indonesian President Prabowo Subianto's populist policies are creating a 'doom-loop' in the country's financial markets. This situation weakens investor confidence and leads to market volatility. Prabowo's policies include increased public spending and protectionist trade measures. While these steps may boost short-term popularity, they threaten long-term economic stability. In particular, the widening budget deficit and rising external debt are heightening investors' risk perception. Despite the central bank's decision to keep interest rates steady, pressure on the rupiah persists. Foreign investors are accelerating their exit from the bond market, while selling pressure is also observed in the stock market. This fuels a vicious cycle referred to as a 'doom-loop'. Analysts note that Prabowo's populist promises weaken fiscal discipline and pose downside risks to the country's credit rating. Although Indonesia has high growth potential, the current policy direction is increasing uncertainty in the markets. This is not investment advice.

📊 GOOGL — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

Although the news headline focuses on Indonesian markets, it is not expected to have a direct impact on a global technology stock like GOOGL. Technical indicators are giving mixed signals: the RSI is at 48, in neutral territory, while the MACD is below zero but approaching the signal line, indicating weak momentum. The price is above the 20-day moving average but below the 50-day moving average, suggesting potential for a short-term recovery. Overall, it is difficult to determine a clear direction for the stock, so a sideways movement can be expected in the short term.

RSI 14

48.0

MACD

-0.92

24h Δ

1.20%

📊 EEM — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

The headline points to a negative cycle created by populist policies in Indonesian markets. EEM's last close was 64.59, losing 8.5% in the last 24 hours, with RSI at 16.4 in oversold territory. The MACD value is below the signal line and negative, indicating that short-term bearish momentum may continue. The price is trading below the 20- and 50-day moving averages, weakening the technical outlook. However, oversold conditions also raise the possibility of a short-term rebound, so I forecast with medium-high confidence in the bearish direction.

RSI 14

16.4

MACD

-1.24

24h Δ

-8.51%

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Prabowo's Populist Policies Trigger 'Doom Loop' in Indonesian Markets

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