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62/100 Bearish 13.06.2026 · 09:24 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 3 TR

Global Markets on Alert Ahead of Fed Rate Decision: Warsh's First Meeting Awaited

In global markets, positive signals regarding peace talks between the US and Iran have boosted risk appetite, while investors' attention is focused on the US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate decision to be announced next week. Rising inflation trends and strong employment data in the US keep expectations of a rate hike alive. The first monetary policy meeting chaired by new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh is seen as a critical turning point that could increase market volatility. The messages from Warsh's post-meeting statements will lead investors to seek clues about future policy directions. Analysts note that the Fed may continue tightening steps in light of current economic data, but Warsh's approach could cause unexpected movements in markets. Particularly, the fight against inflation and the strong labor market are key factors determining the direction of the rate decision. Despite the improvement in global risk appetite, the Fed's tight monetary policy stance and potential surprises in Warsh's first meeting have led to cautious waiting in markets. Investors are closely monitoring movements in the dollar index and US Treasury yields ahead of the decision. This is not investment advice.

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The DXY is trading sideways at 99.80, with the RSI balanced around 50. Although the MACD remains below zero, it is approaching the signal line, indicating a weak upward momentum. The price is just above the 20-day SMA but below the 50-day SMA, suggesting a short-term recovery attempt while the medium-term trend has not yet reversed. With markets cautious ahead of the Fed interest rate decision, the DXY is expected to fluctuate within the 99.70-100.00 range. Given the difficulty in determining a clear direction before the decision, a neutral stance appears appropriate.

RSI 14
50.3
MACD
-0.03
24h Δ
0.11%

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The S&P 500 (SPX) is trading above its 20-day SMA and near its 50-day SMA, indicating a short-term bullish bias. However, the RSI at 58 is in neutral territory, neither overbought nor oversold, suggesting balanced momentum. The MACD is positive and above its signal line, pointing to continued upward momentum. News headlines note that markets are cautious ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision, with Warsh's first meeting anticipated. This uncertainty may deter investors from taking positions before the decision. In conclusion, while technical indicators support a mild bullish trend, macroeconomic uncertainty increases the likelihood of sideways movement in the near term.

RSI 14
58.0
MACD
11.54
24h Δ
0.92%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

Although NDX has risen 2.4% in the last 24 hours, the RSI stands at 60 and the MACD is in positive territory without approaching overbought levels. News headlines indicate cautious anticipation in markets ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision, with the first meeting of new Chair Warsh being closely watched. This uncertainty makes it difficult to provide a clear short-term directional signal. While technical indicators support an upward trend, the market is likely to trade sideways due to macroeconomic news flow.

RSI 14
60.2
MACD
123.91
24h Δ
2.43%
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