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67/100 Bearish 14.06.2026 · 10:31 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 7 TR

Iran-US Draft Agreement: Strait of Hormuz and Oil Sanctions on the Table

A senior Iranian official told Reuters that the draft agreement prepared with the US includes the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, suspension of oil sanctions, and release of frozen assets. This development is seen as a step that could ease supply concerns in global oil markets. According to the draft, the final agreement is planned to be negotiated within 60 days. The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could secure this strategic waterway, through which about one-fifth of the world's oil supply passes, potentially putting downward pressure on oil prices. While the suspension of oil sanctions would allow Iran to increase its crude oil exports, the release of frozen assets could provide significant liquidity to the country's economy. This situation has the potential to create a supply surplus in the global oil market. If the agreement is finalized, volatility is expected in commodity prices, particularly Brent crude. As investors position themselves based on the course of negotiations, a reduction in the geopolitical risk premium could pull oil prices lower. This is not investment advice.

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The news indicates that a potential agreement between Iran and the US covers the security of the Strait of Hormuz and oil sanctions. This could reduce supply concerns, exerting downward pressure on oil prices. Technical indicators support this view: RSI is in weak territory at 42, MACD is below the signal line, and the price is below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The 2% decline in the last 24 hours suggests continued selling pressure. The bearish trend is expected to persist in the short term.

RSI 14
41.8
MACD
-0.93
24h Δ
-1.98%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The news headline indicates that a draft agreement between Iran and the US regarding the Strait of Hormuz and oil sanctions is on the table. This development could create expectations of increased supply in the market, potentially exerting downward pressure on oil prices. XOM stock is already in a technically weak position, with its RSI at 38 approaching oversold territory, and the price trading below both its 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The MACD line is below the signal line and in negative territory, confirming weak short-term momentum. The 1.22% decline over the past 24 hours further supports this bearish outlook. Therefore, the likelihood of a continued downtrend in the short term is high.

RSI 14
38.4
MACD
-0.91
24h Δ
-1.22%

📊 CVX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

News indicates that Iran and the US are negotiating over the Strait of Hormuz and oil sanctions. This situation could create expectations of increased supply in the market, potentially weighing on oil prices and consequently on CVX stock. Technical indicators also point to weakness: RSI at 45 is below the neutral zone, MACD is below its signal line, and the price is below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The likelihood of continued selling pressure in the short term is high.

RSI 14
45.1
MACD
-0.45
24h Δ
0.23%

📊 BP — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

The news points to a draft agreement between Iran and the US involving the Strait of Hormuz and oil sanctions. This development could signal a reduction in geopolitical risks and alleviate concerns over supply security. Although BP shares saw a slight uptick in the last close, the RSI at 44 remains in neutral territory and the MACD is below the signal line. In the short term, this news may create optimism that could offset a potential decline in oil prices. However, given the weak technical indicators, any upside is expected to be limited.

RSI 14
44.2
MACD
-0.13
24h Δ
0.71%
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