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64/100 Neutral 15.06.2026 · 05:08 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 4 TR

Strait of Hormuz Deal: Oil Prices Drop, Return to Old Order Difficult

The agreement reached between the US and Iran after approximately four months of conflict has led to a rapid decline in oil prices. Following the news of the deal, a significant drop was observed in benchmark crude oil prices such as Brent and WTI. However, energy experts warn that it will take time for oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and regional production to return to previous levels. According to experts, repairing infrastructure damaged during the conflict and reestablishing the logistics chain could take months. It is noted that production facilities in some countries may take up to a year to reach full capacity. This indicates that supply will remain limited in the short term, with potential for prices to rise again. Although markets experienced a rapid decline due to optimism over the deal, experts emphasize that returning to the old order is not as easy as it seems. Oil producers and shipping companies are acting cautiously due to security concerns and rising insurance costs. Additionally, geopolitical risks are not entirely eliminated. In conclusion, whether the current drop in oil prices will be permanent depends on the speed at which the actual situation in the region normalizes. Investors continue to closely monitor uncertainties in supply-demand balance and geopolitical developments. This is not investment advice.

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

News of an agreement in the Strait of Hormuz is easing supply concerns, putting pressure on oil prices. Technical indicators also support this decline: the RSI is approaching oversold territory at 32, while the MACD is below the signal line and in negative territory. The price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating short-term weakness. However, the RSI entering oversold territory suggests some buying interest may emerge. Therefore, while the downtrend continues, its pace may slow.

RSI 14
32.2
MACD
-1.62
24h Δ
-5.45%

📊 WTI — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

News of an agreement in the Strait of Hormuz is easing supply concerns, putting downward pressure on oil prices. Technical indicators also support this decline: the RSI is near oversold territory at 31, the MACD is below its signal line, and the price is below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The sharp 6% drop in the last 24 hours indicates continued selling pressure. The short-term downtrend is expected to persist, though some corrective buying is possible due to oversold conditions.

RSI 14
31.3
MACD
-1.68
24h Δ
-6.16%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

News of an agreement in the Strait of Hormuz is putting downward pressure on oil prices, which could have a short-term negative impact on XOM stock. Technical indicators support this view: although the RSI at 38 is near oversold territory, momentum remains weak, and the MACD is below its signal line in negative territory. The stock is trading below both its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, confirming a short-term downtrend. The 1.22% decline over the past 24 hours indicates continued selling pressure. However, the RSI approaching oversold levels may limit the pace of the decline and keeps the possibility of a short-term rebound alive.

RSI 14
38.4
MACD
-0.91
24h Δ
-1.22%

📊 CVX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

News of an agreement in the Strait of Hormuz could put short-term pressure on energy stocks such as CVX by weighing on oil prices. Technical indicators support this view: the RSI is in weak territory at 45, the MACD is below its signal line, and the price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. However, the downside may be limited as a return to the old order is expected to be difficult. Therefore, I expect a downward move with moderate confidence.

RSI 14
45.1
MACD
-0.45
24h Δ
0.23%
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