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67/100 Bearish 15.06.2026 · 09:53 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 7 TR

Oil Prices Fall to Three-Month Low on US-Iran Deal

Oil prices dropped to a three-month low after a deal between the US and Iran signaled the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, raising expectations of a significant increase in global oil supply. The Strait of Hormuz handles about one-third of the world's oil trade, and the normalization of transit there has triggered oversupply concerns. Following the agreement, selling pressure increased in markets, and crude oil futures fell to their lowest level in three months. Investors have begun pricing in the possibility of further increases in global supply if sanctions on Iranian oil exports are eased. This is putting downward pressure on oil prices despite production cuts by OPEC+ countries. Analysts note that the deal has reduced the geopolitical risk premium, shifting the market's focus to supply-demand balance. Economic slowdown in China and global demand concerns are among other factors accelerating the decline in oil prices. Brent crude has fallen below $80 per barrel, testing technical support levels. Market participants will closely monitor the details and implementation timeline of the US-Iran deal in the coming days. Decisions from OPEC+'s December meeting will also be decisive for the direction of oil prices. In the short term, oil prices are expected to remain low due to supply increase expectations and weak demand outlook. This is not investment advice.

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

Oil prices fell to a three-month low following news of a US-Iran agreement, with technical indicators pointing to oversold conditions. Although the RSI is in oversold territory at 27.5, the MACD remains negative and prices closed below the 20- and 50-day moving averages. In the short term, selling pressure is likely to persist, though some bargain buying may emerge due to oversold conditions. However, upside moves may remain limited as long as the downtrend is not broken.

RSI 14
27.5
MACD
-1.51
24h Δ
-5.29%

📊 WTI — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

Oil prices fell to a three-month low following news of a US-Iran agreement, with technical indicators pointing to oversold territory. Although the RSI is in oversold territory at 28, the MACD remains in negative territory and below the signal line, indicating continued bearish momentum. The price is trading below the 20- and 50-day moving averages, which are sloping downward, weakening the short-term outlook. The deal news has created expectations of increased supply, supporting the bearish trend, but oversold conditions also raise the possibility of a short-term corrective rally. Therefore, I maintain a bearish outlook with medium-high confidence.

RSI 14
28.4
MACD
-1.52
24h Δ
-5.47%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

The sharp decline in oil prices is directly weighing on Exxon Mobil (XOM) stock. Technical indicators support this view, with the RSI approaching oversold territory at 38, while the MACD is below the signal line and in negative territory. The price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating short-term weakness. However, the low RSI levels may also suggest some potential for a rebound. Overall, if the decline in oil prices continues, XOM could see further downside in the near term.

RSI 14
38.4
MACD
-0.91
24h Δ
-1.22%

📊 CVX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The sharp decline in oil prices could create short-term pressure on CVX stock. Technical indicators already present a weak outlook, with the RSI at 45, below the neutral zone, the MACD below its signal line, and the price trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The news may reinforce the bearish trend by supporting the current weak technical structure. However, it should be noted that the decline may be limited, and the stock could find support at the $187 level.

RSI 14
45.1
MACD
-0.45
24h Δ
0.23%
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