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60/100 Bearish 16.06.2026 · 05:02 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 7 TR

Global Banks Cut Oil Price Forecasts, Raise Gold Predictions

Following the US-Iran agreement, oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz are expected to normalize rapidly. This development has led global financial giants to revise their oil price forecasts downward. Banks anticipate that reduced geopolitical risks will enhance supply security and put downward pressure on prices. On the other hand, the same institutions have raised their gold price forecasts. Despite the decline in geopolitical uncertainties, gold is supported by central bank purchases and expectations of a weaker dollar. Global banks indicate that gold will maintain its safe-haven demand and prices will trend upward. Concerns about an oil supply glut are compounded by uncertainties regarding OPEC+'s production policies. However, the normalization in the Strait of Hormuz could exert short-term downward pressure on prices. Banks note that this situation may also affect global inflation expectations. On the gold side, despite the reduction in geopolitical risk premium, central banks' reserve diversification efforts and the potential for a weaker dollar are supporting prices. Financial giants predict that gold will perform strongly throughout 2024. This is not investment advice.

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

The news headline indicates that global banks have lowered their oil price forecasts, creating a negative outlook for Brent crude. Technical indicators also support this bearish trend: the RSI is near oversold territory at 34.9, the MACD is below its signal line, and the price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. Selling pressure is likely to persist in the short term, although the low RSI level could signal a potential buying rebound. Therefore, a bearish expectation is reasonable, but caution is warranted due to the oversold zone.

RSI 14
34.9
MACD
-0.55
24h Δ
-0.36%

📊 WTI — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

The news headline indicates that global banks have lowered their oil price forecasts, which can be interpreted as a negative signal regarding supply-demand balance. Technical indicators support this view: the RSI at 39 is near oversold territory but has not yet signaled a recovery, while the MACD line remains below the signal line and in negative territory. The price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, confirming a short-term downtrend. Despite a slight uptick in the last 24 hours, the overall outlook remains weak, and bearish pressure could persist. Therefore, the probability of further price declines in the short term is high.

RSI 14
39.2
MACD
-0.43
24h Δ
0.62%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

The news headline points to a negative outlook for oil prices, which could directly impact energy companies such as Exxon Mobil (XOM). Technical indicators support this bearish view: although the RSI is in oversold territory at 25.4, the MACD remains below the signal line and in negative territory. The price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, having lost 6.6% in the last 24 hours. Selling pressure is likely to persist in the short term, though some buying on the dip may occur due to oversold conditions.

RSI 14
25.4
MACD
-2.37
24h Δ
-6.59%

📊 CVX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

The news presents a negative outlook for oil prices, which could directly impact energy stocks such as CVX. Technical indicators support this view: although the RSI at 30.46 is near oversold territory, the MACD remains below the signal line and in negative territory, suggesting that short-term bearish momentum may persist. The price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages and has declined 5.4% in the last 24 hours. These combined factors indicate that downward pressure could continue in the near term.

RSI 14
30.5
MACD
-2.20
24h Δ
-5.42%
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