Long Road Ahead for Stock Market After Iran Peace Deal

The pricing of war risk in the Middle East following the peace agreement with Iran is seen as the easy part for stock markets. However, investors may face more challenging obstacles ahead. Markets must contend with factors such as a potential new hawkish Fed chair, Washington's intervention in AI trade, and the largest wave of equity supply in history. Concerns that the new Fed chair may tighten monetary policy could dampen risk appetite in markets. Additionally, US regulatory interventions in the AI sector may cause volatility in technology stocks, potentially negatively impacting valuations of growth-oriented companies. The largest wave of equity supply in history, characterized by new IPOs and sales of existing shares, could strain market liquidity. Increased supply may exert downward pressure on stock prices and lead investors to rebalance their portfolios. While reduced geopolitical risks create a positive short-term sentiment, the factors listed above could delay the market recovery process. Investors are expected to maintain a cautious stance toward macroeconomic developments and policy changes. This is not investment advice.

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

Although the news headline suggests a long road ahead for markets following the Iran peace agreement, this development is generally interpreted as a reduction in geopolitical risks and the removal of uncertainty. The 3.4% daily gain in the SPX and the RSI at a high level of 68.8 indicate strong buying momentum in the short term. The MACD being above its signal line and showing positive values supports the continuation of the upward trend. However, the RSI approaching overbought territory brings some risk of profit-taking or consolidation in the near term. Therefore, while the bullish trend persists, caution is advisable.

RSI 14

68.8

MACD

49.89

24h Δ

3.39%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The NDX has surged 6.5% in the last 24 hours, pushing its RSI to 73, near overbought levels. While the MACD remains positive and above the signal line, such rapid movement could trigger a short-term pause or profit-taking. News headlines imply lingering challenges ahead despite the peace agreement, tempering optimism. Although technical indicators point to a strong uptrend, overbought conditions and cautious news tone increase directional uncertainty. Therefore, a sideways consolidation appears more likely in the near term rather than a clear directional move.

RSI 14

73.3

MACD

367.57

24h Δ

6.51%

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Long Road Ahead for Stock Market After Iran Peace Deal

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

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