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62/100 Bearish 18.06.2026 · 06:41 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 7 TR

Kevin Warsh Era at the Fed: Experts Assess New Monetary Policy

The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) kept interest rates unchanged in line with market expectations, while remarks from new Chair Kevin Warsh at his first meeting became the main focus for markets. Experts agree that a more hawkish era has begun at the Fed, as forward guidance in the policy statement was withdrawn and the new administration signaled radical changes in monetary policy. It is noted that the Fed under Warsh's leadership may take more aggressive steps to combat inflation, which could increase market volatility. Experts emphasize that monetary policy may become more unpredictable in the new period and that investors should be prepared for this uncertainty. Changes in the language of the policy statement suggest that the Fed may adopt a more flexible stance on future interest rate hikes. This has led to fluctuations, particularly in bond markets, while the dollar index has also seen movement. Analysts state that the Fed under Warsh's management may adopt a more data-sensitive approach, and therefore markets may react more sensitively to each data release. The new period is expected to bring significant tests for the Fed's independence and credibility. This is not investment advice.

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

The DXY is trading above its 20- and 50-day moving averages, with the RSI at 62 maintaining an upward bias. Although the MACD line is near the signal line, it remains in positive territory, indicating lively short-term momentum. The start of a new era at the Fed could shape market expectations for monetary policy and is generally perceived as supportive for the dollar. However, the MACD being just below the signal line and the risk of profit-taking after the rise in the last 24 hours limit the upside outlook. While the upward movement is expected to continue in the short term, cautious optimism prevails as the index has not yet entered overbought territory.

RSI 14
62.2
MACD
0.17
24h Δ
0.70%

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The S&P 500 (SPX) closed well below its 20-day moving average (7524.67), and while the RSI at 35.86 approaches oversold territory, the MACD remains below its signal line, indicating weak momentum. The news headline points to a new era at the Fed, which typically creates policy uncertainty and is met with caution by markets. In the short term, the risk of continued selling pressure is high, but the low RSI level could also trigger potential bargain buying. Therefore, while downside expectations prevail, a weak trend rather than a sharp decline is anticipated.

RSI 14
35.9
MACD
2.49
24h Δ
-0.04%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

NDX is trading below its 20-day moving average (30,212) with an RSI of 40, indicating short-term weakness. The MACD remains below the signal line, with downward momentum continuing. News of leadership changes at the Fed may create uncertainty, but the market will await clear signals on new monetary policy. Support may be found near the 50-day moving average (29,563), but no strong catalyst for an upward move is apparent.

RSI 14
40.2
MACD
38.98
24h Δ
0.11%
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