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70/100 Bearish 24.06.2026 · 12:15 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 8 TR

Goldman Sachs Cuts Q4 Crude Oil Forecast to $80

Daan Struyven, co-head of global commodities research at Goldman Sachs, outlined three main reasons for the rapid decline in oil prices following the interim peace agreement between the US and Iran. Struyven noted that analysts and investors had 'underestimated' the resilience of global oil markets during the conflict. In light of these developments, the bank lowered its fourth-quarter crude oil price forecast to $80. Struyven emphasized that a reduction in geopolitical risk premium, oversupply concerns, and slowing demand were the primary factors driving prices down. He stated that the interim peace deal reduced market uncertainty and allowed producers to increase output. He added that the slowdown in global economic growth is negatively impacting oil demand. Goldman Sachs' revised forecast reflects current market dynamics. The bank predicts that production policies of OPEC+ countries and the increase in US shale oil production could lead to an oversupply. Struyven noted that the combination of these factors will continue to exert pressure on prices. Investors view Goldman Sachs' revision as a significant signal for the short-term outlook in oil markets. The bank's analysis highlights the impact of geopolitical developments and supply-demand balance on prices. Market participants will closely monitor factors such as upcoming OPEC+ meetings and US economic data. This is not investment advice.

📊 GS — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

Goldman Sachs' reduction of its crude oil forecast may reflect weak demand expectations for the energy sector and could pressure GS stock. Technically, the stock is trading below its 20-day moving average, with the RSI below 50, indicating short-term weakness. The MACD line remains below the signal line, confirming negative momentum. The recent 1.66% decline in the last close suggests continued selling pressure. However, support near the 50-day moving average may limit further downside.

RSI 14
46.6
MACD
1.32
24h Δ
-1.66%

📊 BP — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

BP shares fell 2.5% in the last 24 hours, closing at $39.32, just below the 20-day moving average of $39.39. While the RSI at 36.8 approaches oversold territory, the MACD line remains below the signal line and in negative territory, indicating weak short-term momentum. Goldman Sachs' reduction of its crude oil forecast serves as a negative catalyst for oil companies like BP. The weakness in technical indicators and selling pressure from the news suggest the stock may continue its downward trend in the coming days. However, the RSI nearing oversold levels also raises the possibility of a short-term bounce.

RSI 14
36.8
MACD
-0.31
24h Δ
-2.46%

📊 CVX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

Goldman Sachs' reduction of its crude oil forecast could exert pressure on energy sector stocks. CVX shares have already declined 1.1% in the last 24 hours, with an RSI of 46.6 in neutral territory. The MACD line remains below the signal line, and the price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. This technical weakness, combined with the negative news, supports a bearish trend in the short term. However, the decline may be limited.

RSI 14
46.6
MACD
-0.63
24h Δ
-1.13%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

Goldman Sachs' reduction of its crude oil forecast could create pressure on the energy sector and negatively impact XOM stock. Technically, the price is trading below the 50-day moving average, and the MACD is in negative territory, indicating short-term weakness. However, the RSI is balanced at the 50 level, and there is a close above the 20-day average, suggesting that the decline may be limited. Selling pressure may increase due to the news, but the current technical structure does not support a sharp drop.

RSI 14
50.0
MACD
-0.24
24h Δ
-0.76%
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