Fed's Preferred Inflation Gauge Misses Expectations at 3.4% in May
📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu
▲ up · 60%Inflation coming in below expectations increases the likelihood of a Fed rate cut, sending a positive signal to the market. However, technical indicators for the SPX remain weak: the RSI is near oversold territory at 39, the MACD is negative, and the price is below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. In the short term, this news could trigger a relief rally, but a stronger catalyst may be needed to reverse the trend.
📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu
▲ up · 60%The lower-than-expected inflation data strengthens the expectation that the Fed may begin cutting interest rates earlier, creating a positive catalyst for the tech-heavy NDX. However, the index has fallen 3.8% in the last 24 hours, and while the RSI at 37 is approaching oversold territory, the MACD continues to give a sell signal. In the short term, a technical recovery may occur with this news, but the price structure remaining below the SMA20 and SMA50 could limit upward movement. Therefore, while maintaining a bullish outlook, caution is warranted.
📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu
▼ down · 60%Inflation coming in below expectations strengthens the prospect that the Fed may begin rate cuts earlier, potentially creating downward pressure on the DXY. Technically, the RSI is in neutral territory just above 50, while the MACD is very close to its signal line and moving sideways. The price is trading just below the 20- and 50-day moving averages, indicating short-term weakness. However, the moving averages are close to each other and there is no clear signal from the indicators, suggesting that any decline may be limited. Therefore, I expect a downward move with moderate confidence.
📊 GLD — Piyasa Yorumu
▲ up · 70%Inflation coming in below expectations could increase the likelihood of a Fed rate cut, potentially supporting gold prices. The RSI at 15.4, deep in oversold territory, signals short-term upside potential. Although the MACD remains in negative territory, such news could trigger buying pressure. However, the price trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages suggests any rally may be limited. Overall, a positive short-term outlook is anticipated.