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80/100 Bearish 26.06.2026 · 12:33 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 3 TR

US Trade Deficit Hits One-Year High in May

The US goods trade deficit reached its highest level in over a year in May, driven by a decline in exports and an increase in imports. This expansion indicates a continued deterioration in the trade balance. Data show that slowing global demand negatively impacted US exports, while domestic demand kept imports robust. The May increase reveals a significant widening of the trade deficit compared to previous months. Economists note that this could be reflected in the US first-quarter growth data. The decline in exports was particularly concentrated in capital goods and industrial materials, while the import increase was seen in items such as consumer goods and automobiles. This widening of the trade deficit could also affect the performance of the US dollar against other currencies. Indicators such as the US Dollar Index (DXY) and the dollar/yen pair (USDJPY) may experience volatility following the trade data. However, whether these movements will be sustained will depend on the Fed's monetary policy and the global economic outlook. In the coming period, the trajectory of the trade deficit will be closely monitored for insights into the strength of the US economy and the effects of global trade wars. The data suggest that uncertainties in trade policies and supply chain issues persist. This could impact investor risk appetite and exchange rates. This is not investment advice.

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The US goods trade deficit hitting a one-year high in May could exert downward pressure on the dollar index (DXY). A widening trade deficit is considered a factor signaling dollar depreciation. Technical indicators also support this view: the RSI is approaching oversold territory at 36, while the MACD is below the signal line and in negative territory. Additionally, the price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The likelihood of a continued short-term downtrend is high.

RSI 14
36.3
MACD
-0.07
24h Δ
-0.29%

📊 USDJPY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 55%

The US goods trade deficit exceeding expectations could create short-term pressure on the dollar. Technically, USDJPY is trading below its 50- and 20-day moving averages, with the RSI in neutral territory. The MACD line remains below the signal line, confirming weak momentum. However, if the price finds support at these levels, an upward reaction is also possible. Overall, a downward trend prevails in the short term.

RSI 14
49.3
MACD
-0.03
24h Δ
-0.03%

📊 USDTRY — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

USDTRY maintains its short-term uptrend. The RSI is near 60, and the MACD is positive above its signal line, indicating upward momentum. The price is trading above the 20- and 50-day moving averages. While the widening US trade deficit may put pressure on the dollar, the uptrend in USDTRY could persist despite this news. In the short term, the 46.62 resistance level may be tested.

RSI 14
59.8
MACD
0.03
24h Δ
0.23%
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