Fed Rates Could Remain Unchanged Until End of 2026

A majority of economists predict that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates unchanged until the end of 2026. This forecast reflects expectations that the Fed will maintain its tight monetary policy due to current economic conditions and persistent inflationary pressures. Experts note that rising energy costs are exerting upward pressure on inflation, which could delay any rate cuts. The Fed's interest rate decisions continue to influence the dollar index (DXY) and emerging market currencies in global markets. It is stated that sensitive currencies like the Turkish lira may fluctuate depending on the Fed's rate path. As investors closely monitor the Fed's future steps, market volatility is expected to persist. This is not investment advice.

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

Despite the DXY being in oversold territory with an RSI of 28.8, it is trading below its short-term moving averages (SMA20 and SMA50), and the MACD remains negative below the signal line. The news headline does not contain any surprise that could support the dollar, as it implies the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged. The current technical weakness and stagnation in rate expectations suggest the dollar index may continue its downward trend in the short term. However, the oversold condition also brings the possibility of some buying on dips.

RSI 14

28.8

MACD

-0.09

24h Δ

-0.45%

📊 USDTRY — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

USDTRY is trading at 46.62, above both its 20-day SMA (46.59) and 50-day SMA (46.54). The RSI stands at 59.7, in neutral territory but with an upward bias, while the MACD is above its signal line and in positive territory. News that the Fed may keep interest rates unchanged until the end of 2026 could support the dollar, creating upward pressure on USDTRY. Short-term upside potential exists, but since the pair is not approaching overbought levels, the move is expected to remain limited.

RSI 14

59.7

MACD

0.03

24h Δ

0.15%

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