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75/100 Bearish 29.06.2026 · 14:24 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 5 TR

Iraq's 14 Million Barrels of Stranded Oil Exits via Hormuz

Oil stranded in Iraq due to Middle East conflicts has managed to exit the Persian Gulf over the past 10 days. This development became possible as transit through the Strait of Hormuz eased during a fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran. Estimated at approximately 14 million barrels, this oil had previously been unable to be exported due to regional tensions. The release of the oil has somewhat alleviated supply concerns in global markets. Analysts note that this volume could exert downward pressure on prices in the short term. However, the durability of the ceasefire and ongoing geopolitical risks in the region keep the market cautious. This increase in Iraq's oil exports provides a significant supply source, particularly for refineries in Asia and Europe. The normalization of transits through the Strait of Hormuz could also facilitate exports from other producers in the region. However, the trajectory of US-Iran relations stands out as a critical factor for the sustainability of this flow. This is not investment advice.

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The news indicates that Iraq's stranded oil passing through the Strait of Hormuz has been released. This could alleviate supply concerns in the short term, but it is not expected to create downward pressure on prices. Technical indicators show the RSI in neutral territory (54) and the MACD hovering near zero. The price is balanced just above the 20- and 50-day moving averages. Therefore, the market is likely to follow a sideways trend in the short term.

RSI 14
54.1
MACD
-0.01
24h Δ
1.63%

📊 WTI — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

Iraq's extraction of 14 million barrels of stranded oil from the Strait of Hormuz could heighten short-term oversupply concerns. Although the RSI is technically neutral at 55, the price hovering near the SMA20 and SMA50 levels creates resistance. While the MACD has just entered positive territory, this supply news could break the momentum. Therefore, downward pressure can be expected in the short term.

RSI 14
55.2
MACD
0.05
24h Δ
1.70%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The news indicates that Iraq has released 14 million barrels of stranded oil that had been stuck in the Strait of Hormuz. This development could alleviate short-term supply concerns, putting downward pressure on oil prices. Although XOM stock closed down 2.6% and its RSI at 38.9 is approaching oversold territory, momentum indicators (MACD below zero) point to weakness. The price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, which paints a negative technical picture. However, the oversold condition could trigger short-term bargain buying, so the bearish outlook is expressed with moderate confidence.

RSI 14
38.9
MACD
-0.57
24h Δ
-2.64%

📊 CVX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The news indicates that Iraq's 14 million barrels of stranded oil, which had been stuck in the Strait of Hormuz, have been released. This development could increase short-term oversupply concerns, putting downward pressure on oil prices. Although CVX shares closed down 3.9% and the RSI at 31.7 is approaching oversold territory, momentum indicators (MACD below zero and below the signal line) point to weakness. Trading below the 20- and 50-day moving averages further darkens the technical outlook. The likelihood of a continued short-term downtrend is high.

RSI 14
31.7
MACD
-1.20
24h Δ
-3.92%
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