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66/100 Bearish 30.06.2026 · 06:22 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 4 TR

Morgan Stanley Cuts Oil Price Forecast for Second Time in Two Weeks

Morgan Stanley has revised its oil price forecasts downward for the second time in approximately two weeks, citing faster-than-expected normalization of oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, strong supply from the United States, and weak demand in China as factors pressuring prices. The revision signals a renewed risk of oversupply in the global oil market. Morgan Stanley analysts emphasized that the combination of these factors continues to exert downward pressure on oil prices. The bank's new forecasts are at lower levels compared to the previous revision. These developments in the oil market shift investors' focus to the supply-demand balance, with diminishing geopolitical risks and rising U.S. production among the main factors pulling prices down. Weak demand in China reinforces global growth concerns. This is not investment advice.

📊 MS — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

Morgan Stanley's second cut to its oil price forecast in a short period confirms the weak outlook for the energy sector. Although the recent decline in the stock price and the RSI falling to 32 suggest that oversold conditions are approaching, the MACD remaining below the signal line and trading below the 20- and 50-day moving averages indicate that short-term pressure may persist. The fact that the news directly involves Morgan Stanley could create additional selling pressure on the stock due to the negative signal about its own sector. However, oversold conditions in technical indicators keep the possibility of a sudden rebound alive.

RSI 14
31.9
MACD
-2.71
24h Δ
-4.33%

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

Morgan Stanley's second cut to its oil price forecast in two weeks confirms expectations of weakness on the corporate side. Technically, the RSI at 46.7 is trading near the lower end of the neutral zone, while the MACD remains below the signal line. The price trading below the 20-day moving average (73.53) increases short-term pressure. However, finding support near the 50-day moving average (73.31) and yesterday's slight uptick suggest that the decline may be limited. Therefore, while a downward move is expected, I foresee a gradual decline rather than a sharp drop.

RSI 14
46.7
MACD
0.03
24h Δ
0.12%

📊 WTI — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

Morgan Stanley's second cut to its oil price forecast in two weeks signals a notable weakening in institutional sentiment. Technically, the RSI at 46 is hovering near the lower end of the neutral zone, while the MACD line remains below the signal line. Trading below the 20-day moving average (70.31) confirms weak short-term momentum. However, with the 50-day moving average (70.01) providing nearby support, the downside may be limited.

RSI 14
46.0
MACD
0.04
24h Δ
0.06%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

Morgan Stanley's second cut to its oil price forecast in a short period reinforces expectations of a weakening energy sector. XOM shares are already trading below their 20- and 50-day moving averages, with an RSI of 42 in bearish territory. The MACD line remains below the signal line, confirming negative short-term momentum. Considering both the news flow and technical indicators, the likelihood of continued downward pressure over the next 1-3 days is high.

RSI 14
41.6
MACD
-0.43
24h Δ
-0.32%
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