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76/100 Bullish 03.07.2026 · 09:47 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 6 TR

Experts: Central Bank May Cut Rates After Inflation Data

In June, monthly inflation rose by 0.99%, while annual inflation fell to 32.11%. Experts stated that following this data, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (TCMB) could resume interest rate cuts in the remaining part of the year. The slowdown in inflation is said to create room for easing in monetary policy. Analysts predict that the TCMB may gradually lower interest rates in the coming months. However, the pace and magnitude of the cuts will depend on the inflation outlook and global economic conditions. Experts estimate that total rate cuts could be in the range of 200-300 basis points by the end of the year. Markets are closely monitoring the TCMB's decisions after the inflation data. Expectations of rate cuts could lead to fluctuations in bond yields and exchange rates. Investors are focused on when and to what extent the central bank will ease its tight monetary policy. This is not investment advice.

📊 USDTRY — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

The news suggests that the Central Bank may implement a rate cut, which could create upward pressure on USDTRY. Technical indicators show the RSI at 59.6, in neutral territory, while the MACD has made a positive crossover above its signal line, supporting a short-term bullish trend. The price is trading above the 20- and 50-day moving averages, indicating that buyers remain in control. However, the rate cut expectation may already be priced in, and the market could be cautious. Therefore, an upward move is likely but not certain.

RSI 14
59.6
MACD
0.03
24h Δ
0.20%

📊 AKBNK — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The news, which increases expectations of an interest rate cut following the inflation data, could create a favorable environment for the banking sector. However, AKBNK shares lost 3.9% in the last close, with the RSI approaching oversold territory at 31. While the MACD remains below the signal line and in negative territory, short-term averages (SMA20) have stayed above long-term averages (SMA50). Given the balance between technical weakness and the potential positive impact of the news, short-term direction remains uncertain.

RSI 14
31.4
MACD
-0.54
24h Δ
-3.91%

📊 ASELS — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

The news, following inflation data, has increased expectations of an interest rate cut, creating a favorable environment for equity markets. ASELS stock is technically in a strong uptrend; although the RSI at 68 is approaching overbought territory, it is not yet at dangerous levels. The MACD line is above the signal line and in positive territory, indicating that upward momentum continues. The price is trading above the 20- and 50-day moving averages, supporting the short-term outlook. However, caution is warranted due to the elevated RSI and the recent close near the resistance level of 390.75 TL.

RSI 14
68.3
MACD
7.43
24h Δ
1.56%
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