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71/100 Bullish 21.07.2026 · 17:35 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 7 TR

Goldman Sachs: Oil Could Exceed $120 if Hormuz Strait Disruptions Persist

Goldman Sachs analysts predict that oil prices could rise above $120 per barrel if potential disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz continue. This forecast is based on a scenario where geopolitical risks severely impact global oil supply. The bank notes that under current market conditions, supply constraints could quickly drive prices higher. Analysts estimate that if the safety of oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz cannot be ensured, global oil supply could decrease by approximately 20 million barrels per day. This amount corresponds to about 20% of global oil consumption. In such a scenario, oil prices are expected to exceed the $120 level. Goldman Sachs emphasizes that while this situation could be positive for oil companies in the short term, it may lead to demand destruction in the long term. High prices could drive consumers toward alternative energy sources and reduce oil demand. The bank advises investors to consider such geopolitical risks in their portfolios. It warns that a potential rise in oil prices could cause volatility in energy sector stocks. This is not investment advice.

📊 GS — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

The headline features Goldman Sachs' bullish oil price forecast, which could positively impact the energy sector. Technically, the RSI stands at 53, indicating neutral territory, while the MACD is above the signal line but remains in negative territory. The price is trading above the 20-day moving average but slightly below the 50-day moving average. Despite a 1.65% decline in the last session, the positive sentiment from the news may support a short-term recovery. However, due to uncertainties, the upside expectation remains limited with moderate confidence.

RSI 14
52.9
MACD
-3.94
24h Δ
-1.65%

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 70%

The news headline indicates that oil prices could rise significantly if geopolitical risks increase. Technical indicators also support this bullish view, with the RSI at 66 in strong buy territory, the MACD above its signal line, and the price trading above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The 2.4% gain over the past 24 hours further confirms sustained momentum. However, the bullish outlook is expressed with moderate confidence due to the RSI approaching overbought levels and the possibility that the news may already be priced in.

RSI 14
66.2
MACD
0.75
24h Δ
2.40%

📊 WTI — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 70%

Goldman Sachs' warning that oil could surpass $120 in the event of Strait of Hormuz disruptions may amplify supply concerns and push prices higher. Technical indicators support this view: the RSI is in bullish territory at 66, the MACD is above its signal line, and the price is trading above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The 2.68% gain over the past 24 hours suggests continued upward momentum. However, the RSI approaching overbought levels and uncertainty surrounding geopolitical risks could limit further upside.

RSI 14
66.2
MACD
0.65
24h Δ
2.68%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 70%

The news headline predicts that oil prices could rise due to increasing geopolitical risks. This situation may create a positive catalyst for energy companies such as Exxon Mobil. Technical indicators also support this view: although the RSI is above 70, it has just entered overbought territory, and the MACD continues its positive trajectory above the signal line. Additionally, the price is trading above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. In the short term, the likelihood of an upward movement continuing is high, but caution is warranted as the RSI is in overbought territory.

RSI 14
70.2
MACD
1.49
24h Δ
3.01%
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