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67/100 Neutral 22.07.2026 · 15:44 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 4 TR

Fed's Key Inflation Gauge Gets Overhaul: Critical Change Ahead of Rate Decision

The Federal Reserve's most trusted inflation indicator is undergoing a comprehensive revision as the central bank weighs the possibility of a rate hike this fall. The update aims to measure inflation data more accurately and in a more timely manner. The indicator in question is the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. The revision includes changes to the index's calculation methods and data sources. These changes are expected to allow for more precise tracking of inflation in certain categories, particularly services sector prices. Fed officials are divided on whether the current level of interest rates is sufficiently restrictive. Some members argue that inflation remains above target and that additional rate hikes may be necessary, while others believe the current policy is adequate. The revised inflation gauge could add a new dimension to these debates. Markets are closely watching how this revision will affect the Fed's future decisions. If the new data shows inflation is stickier than expected, rate hike expectations could strengthen. However, if the revision revises inflation downward, the likelihood of a rate hike may decrease. This is not investment advice.

📊 JST — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 30%

JST's technical indicators are giving mixed signals. The RSI is neutral at 50, the MACD is below the signal line, and the SMA20 and SMA50 are close to each other, indicating directional uncertainty. The news headline points to a critical shift in the Fed's interest rate policy, but this macroeconomic development may have limited short-term impact on a crypto asset like JST. Despite a slight 0.87% rise in the last 24 hours, no clear directional breakout has occurred. Therefore, a sideways trend can be expected in the short term.

RSI 14
50.1
MACD
0.00
24h Δ
0.87%

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The DXY is trading sideways at 101.12, with the RSI at 52.6 in neutral territory. The MACD remains below the signal line, indicating weak short-term momentum. The price is trapped between the 20-day SMA (101.15) and the 50-day SMA (101.06). The headline points to a critical shift in the Fed's rate hike stance, but the market has yet to establish a clear direction. Therefore, a sideways trend is expected over the next 1-3 days.

RSI 14
52.7
MACD
0.02
24h Δ
0.01%

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

The S&P 500 closed above its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) but remains very close to the 50-day SMA, which could act as a resistance level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 55, indicating a neutral zone, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a positive outlook above its signal line, albeit with weak momentum. A news headline highlights that the Federal Reserve's shift in its inflation tracker is critical ahead of an interest rate decision, potentially creating uncertainty in the markets. Given the lack of clear short-term direction, a neutral stance is recommended.

RSI 14
55.2
MACD
0.57
24h Δ
0.39%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

Although NDX rose 1.7% in the past 24 hours, the RSI at 54 remains in neutral territory, and the price is trapped between the SMA20 and SMA50. The MACD is positive, but the signal line is still negative, indicating that momentum has not fully strengthened. The news headline highlights a critical shift in the inflation tracker ahead of the Fed's interest rate decision; this uncertainty could weigh on the market in the short term. As technical indicators provide no clear direction and macroeconomic news risk persists, the directional outlook is assessed as neutral.

RSI 14
54.3
MACD
23.48
24h Δ
1.72%
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