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65/100 Bearish 30.07.2026 · 05:45 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 7 TR

J.P. Morgan Pulls Forward Fed Rate Hike Forecast to December

Following the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to hold interest rates steady in July, J.P. Morgan has advanced its forecast for the next rate hike to December. The bank had previously expected the rate increase to occur in 2024. This revision reflects expectations that the Fed will adopt a more aggressive stance in combating inflation. J.P. Morgan economists now predict a 25-basis-point rate hike in December, after which rates are expected to remain at that level for some time. Markets interpret this development as a signal of tightening in Fed monetary policy, which could weigh on investor risk appetite. In particular, technology stocks and growth-oriented companies may be negatively affected by the high-interest-rate environment. J.P. Morgan's forecast could prompt other major banks to make similar revisions. However, since the Fed's decisions depend on economic data, inflation and employment figures will be closely monitored. This is not investment advice.

📊 GOOGL — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

GOOGL shares closed 5.2% higher in the last session, trading at $336.67. The RSI stands at 58, remaining in neutral territory without signaling overbought conditions. The MACD line is above the signal line and in positive territory, supporting short-term upward momentum. The price is trading above both the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages, reflecting a technically strong stance. J.P. Morgan's shift of its rate hike forecast to December may create expectations of a further delay in interest rate pressures, potentially fostering a favorable environment for equity markets.

RSI 14
58.2
MACD
1.87
24h Δ
5.22%

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The S&P 500 (SPX) is trading below its 20- and 50-day moving averages, with the RSI approaching oversold territory at 32. The MACD line remains below the signal line and in negative territory, indicating weak short-term momentum. J.P. Morgan's revision of its rate hike forecast to December points to a tighter monetary policy than previously anticipated by the market. This could particularly pressure growth stocks and sustain the index's downward trend. However, the RSI nearing oversold levels also raises the possibility of a short-term bounce.

RSI 14
32.2
MACD
-20.19
24h Δ
-1.26%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

NDX fell 3.4% in the last 24 hours to 27,211, with the RSI nearing oversold territory at 31. The MACD line remains below the signal line and in negative territory, indicating weak short-term momentum. The price is trading well below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages (27,721 and 28,309, respectively). J.P. Morgan's shift of its rate hike forecast to December may increase market expectations of tighter monetary policy, potentially pressuring technology stocks. However, the RSI approaching oversold levels could signal a short-term bounce, suggesting that while the downtrend persists, the pace of decline may be limited.

RSI 14
31.1
MACD
-244.89
24h Δ
-3.43%

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

The DXY fell 0.7% in the last close to 100.75, with the RSI approaching oversold territory at 34.7. The MACD line remains below the signal line and in negative territory, confirming short-term weakness. The price is trading below the 20- and 50-day moving averages, indicating a weak technical outlook. J.P. Morgan's shift of its rate hike forecast to December may add further pressure on the dollar, as expectations of a narrowing interest rate advantage weigh. However, the RSI nearing oversold levels could trigger some short-term buying interest, suggesting that while the downtrend is strong, it may be limited.

RSI 14
34.7
MACD
-0.12
24h Δ
-0.70%
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