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60/100 Bearish 03.08.2026 · 10:28 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 4 TR

Fed Inflation Warning: Rate Hike on the Table if Needed

New York Fed President John Williams said he expects inflation to decline in the second half of the year, but noted that rate hikes could return to the agenda if price pressures do not approach the 2% target. Williams' remarks increased uncertainty in the markets regarding the central bank's monetary policy. Williams stated that current data point to a gradual slowdown in inflation, but if this process does not progress as expected, additional tightening steps could be taken. This message strengthened investors' expectations that interest rates could remain higher for longer. Economists noted that Williams' comments indicate continued determination in the fight against inflation and signal a data-dependent approach in the coming period. The trajectory of core inflation, in particular, is critical for the future of the policy rate. Market participants are cautious that such remarks from Fed officials could delay rate cut expectations and increase volatility. Williams' words led to movements in bond yields and the dollar index, while equity markets also showed a cautious trend. This is not investment advice.

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The Fed's inflation warning and keeping the possibility of a rate hike on the table could reduce risk appetite in the markets and create selling pressure in the short term. In technical indicators, the RSI at 61 suggests that the overbought zone is approaching, while the MACD being positive and above the signal line indicates that momentum continues. However, the news flow could interrupt the current uptrend and increase the likelihood of a pullback towards the SMA20 and SMA50 levels. Therefore, the short-term direction may be downward, but it may be premature to expect a strong decline.

RSI 14
61.3
MACD
19.58
24h Δ
0.81%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The Fed's leaving the door open for further rate hikes could reduce risk appetite in the markets and create short-term pressure on the NDX. Technically, the RSI is at 57, in neutral territory, while the MACD is positive but momentum may weaken. Although the price is above the SMA20 and SMA50, the news flow could lead to a test of this support. Investors are advised to remain cautious and be prepared for a potential pullback.

RSI 14
57.0
MACD
94.88
24h Δ
1.81%

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

The news headline emphasizes that the Fed is open to raising interest rates against inflation risks, which stands out as a supportive factor for the dollar. In technical indicators, the RSI is at 45, in neutral territory, while the MACD is above the signal line, indicating slight positive momentum. The price is holding just above the SMA20 and below the SMA50, but shows potential for a short-term recovery. Despite the decline over the last 24 hours, the news flow and technical structure support a limited upward bias over a 1-3 day perspective. However, as there is no strong trend signal, the confidence level is kept moderate.

RSI 14
45.5
MACD
-0.09
24h Δ
-0.37%
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