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69/100 Bearish 06.08.2026 · 19:13 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 5 TR

FT: Fed Chair Warsh Open to September Rate Hike

According to the Financial Times (FT), U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh has indicated that he may consider a rate hike in September if upcoming inflation data comes in above expectations. This statement has increased uncertainty in the markets regarding the interest rate path. Warsh's stance signals a cautious approach in the fight against inflation. Emphasizing that the Fed will act data-dependently in its monetary policy, Warsh noted that the trajectory of core inflation indicators is of critical importance. Analysts say that following these remarks, the probability of a rate hike at the Fed's September meeting has been priced in, but the final decision will depend on the data. Markets will closely monitor inflation data due in the coming weeks. These developments could affect risk appetite in global markets. As investors assess signals regarding the pace of the Fed's tightening steps, volatility is expected in the dollar index and U.S. Treasury yields. This is not investment advice.

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

The news is supportive of the dollar index (DXY) as the Fed leans toward raising interest rates. Technical indicators also confirm this view; the RSI at 63.5 signals strong momentum, while the MACD is above its signal line and in positive territory. The price is trading above the SMA20 and SMA50, indicating a short-term uptrend. However, there is a risk that the rate hike expectation may already be priced in, and with the index approaching overbought territory, the upside could be limited. Therefore, while an upward move is expected in the short term, caution is advised.

RSI 14
63.5
MACD
0.05
24h Δ
0.24%

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The news that the Fed is leaning toward a rate hike could create pressure on the market. Technical indicators show RSI at 60 and MACD below the signal line, indicating short-term weakness. The price has closed below the SMA20 but remains above the SMA50, suggesting the medium-term trend is still upward. The expectation of a rate hike may reduce risk appetite and cause the index to pull back within 1-3 days. However, the decline is likely to be limited, as the market may have partially priced in this news.

RSI 14
60.1
MACD
37.91
24h Δ
1.52%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The news that the Fed Chair is leaning toward a rate hike could create negative pressure on the market. Despite NDX's 2.17% gain at the last close, the RSI at 56 is not in overbought territory, but the MACD remains below the signal line. The price is below the SMA20, indicating short-term weakness. Expectations of a rate hike could negatively impact technology stocks, so a downward trend may be expected in the short term.

RSI 14
56.1
MACD
178.64
24h Δ
2.17%
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