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74/100 Bullish 08.08.2026 · 05:38 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 5 TR

New Forecasts from Banks for Oil Prices

As tensions between the US and Iran enter their fifth month, expectations for oil prices in the global market continue to be affected. Persistent supply concerns during this period have prompted major financial institutions to revise their forecasts. Citi has revised its third-quarter Brent crude oil price forecast upward, citing the prolonged resolution process and ongoing supply risks. This move by the bank has strengthened expectations in the markets that prices could rise further. Brent crude closed the week above $83, showing a strong performance. This level highlights the impact of geopolitical risks on prices. Goldman Sachs also noted that high prices could persist in the short term. The bank predicts that supply-side uncertainties will continue to support prices under current conditions. Experts state that the course of the US-Iran conflict will remain decisive for oil prices. The possibility of supply disruptions and regional instability are increasing the risk premium in the markets. This situation creates significant uncertainty for both producer and consumer countries. In the coming period, in addition to geopolitical developments, global demand data will also influence the direction of oil prices. Investors are closely monitoring these factors to shape their positions. Market analysts say that whether prices will remain at current levels depends on the course of the conflict and the flow of news regarding supply security. This is not investment advice.

📊 GS — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The news headline includes bank forecasts for oil prices, but no direct impact is expected for GS. Technically, the price is below the 20-day moving average and the MACD is in negative territory, indicating short-term weakness. The RSI is neutral at 45.7, but the 1.8% decline over the last 24 hours shows negative momentum. Overall, given the current technical outlook and the limited impact of the news, a downward move is more likely in the short term.

RSI 14
45.7
MACD
-2.02
24h Δ
-1.80%

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 55%

Brent crude fell 1.5% in the latest session to $82.27. The RSI stands at 48.9, indicating neutral territory, while the MACD remains below its signal line, suggesting weak short-term momentum. The price is trading below the 20-day moving average ($82.95) but above the 50-day average ($81.20), indicating that the medium-term trend is still upward. New forecasts from banks could introduce uncertainty, but the current technical picture does not provide a clear direction. Therefore, a sideways movement is expected in the short term.

RSI 14
48.9
MACD
0.35
24h Δ
-1.53%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 55%

The headline suggests a general oil price forecast but lacks a specific direction or shock, so no strong direct impact on the market is expected. Technical indicators give mixed signals: RSI is neutral at 47, MACD is negative but close to the signal line, and the price is just above SMA20 and below SMA50. A slight decline over the last 24 hours increases the likelihood of sideways movement in the short term. Potential moves in oil prices could affect XOM, but current data is insufficient to determine a clear direction. Therefore, a neutral stance is recommended over a 1-3 day perspective.

RSI 14
47.3
MACD
-0.23
24h Δ
-0.98%

📊 CVX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The news headline includes bank forecasts for oil prices but does not indicate a clear direction, which may have a limited impact on the market. Technical indicators point to weakness: RSI at 38.7 is near the oversold territory, and MACD is below the signal line and negative. The price is trading below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, with a 2.26% decline in the last 24 hours. In the short term, downward pressure is likely to persist, but a rebound could occur as the market approaches oversold conditions. Therefore, the bias is bearish, but with a moderate level of confidence.

RSI 14
38.7
MACD
-1.00
24h Δ
-2.26%
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