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64/100 Bearish 10.08.2026 · 13:28 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 6 TR

JPMorgan shifts dollar strategy: Neutralizes position

The US non-farm payroll data came in well below market expectations, increasing pressure on the dollar. While expectations were for an increase of 80,000 jobs, the data showing a decrease of 23,000 jobs also impacted forecasts regarding the dollar's trajectory. This development prompted major banks to review their currency strategies. Following this data, JPMorgan made a significant change to its dollar strategy. The bank had been positioning for dollar appreciation since mid-May. However, the weak employment data weakened this expectation, and the bank moved its dollar position to 'neutral'. This move indicates that the dollar's future trading range may narrow. JPMorgan's decision has led to commentary that the dollar index and EURUSD pair could follow a calmer path in the near term. The bank's revised outlook suggests that the dollar could stabilize at current levels, with large directional moves giving way to consolidation. Market participants view the strategy change by a major institution like JPMorgan as a signal that the dollar's upward momentum has faded. However, experts emphasize that data and central bank policies will continue to be decisive for the dollar's direction. This is not investment advice.

📊 JPM — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 55%

JPMorgan's neutralization of its dollar strategy sends mixed signals regarding risk appetite on the institutional side. In technical indicators, the RSI at 56 is in neutral territory, the MACD is just below the signal line, and the price is above the SMA20 and SMA50, indicating a sideways trend in the short term. Since the news is more of a macro stance shift rather than a specific company development directly affecting JPM stock, the impact on the share price may be limited. The slight decline over the last 24 hours and current momentum do not provide a clear directional signal. Therefore, in a 1-3 day perspective, the price is expected to consolidate at current levels.

RSI 14
55.9
MACD
0.37
24h Δ
-0.05%

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

JPMorgan's neutralization of its dollar position indicates that there is no clear directional expectation for the dollar on the institutional side. On the technical indicators, the RSI at 57 is in a slightly bullish zone, but the MACD is in negative territory, and the price is squeezed between the SMA20 and SMA50. This situation increases the likelihood of a sideways movement in the short term. Combining the news flow and the technical outlook, it seems difficult for the DXY to gain a clear direction in the 1-3 day period. Therefore, a neutral outlook comes to the forefront.

RSI 14
57.8
MACD
-0.00
24h Δ
0.16%

📊 EURUSD — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 60%

JPMorgan's neutralization of its dollar position may not exert significant directional pressure on EURUSD in the short term. Technical indicators are also sending mixed signals: RSI is neutral at 45, MACD is below the signal line but near zero, and price is below the SMA20 but just above the SMA50. This suggests the market is in a state of direction-seeking with no clear trend. Although the news flow points to a corporate position shift, its impact on market pricing may remain limited. Therefore, a sideways movement can be expected over a 1-3 day horizon.

RSI 14
45.1
MACD
0.00
24h Δ
-0.10%
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