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66/100 Neutral 14.08.2026 · 06:27 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 6 TR

Trump Tariffs Become Key Driver of Copper Price Spreads

In the copper market, potential new tariff decisions by the administration of US President Donald Trump have shifted price spreads from a key indicator for professional investors to the center of policy expectations. Societe Generale analyzed the price difference between US and London exchanges to calculate the probability of potential tariff rates on refined copper. According to the bank's calculations, the current price spread reveals how much the market is pricing in tariff scenarios of 15% and 30%. This indicates that investors are directly reflecting their expectations of the Trump administration's trade policies in copper prices. Experts note that once the tariff decision becomes clear, the price spread could change rapidly, potentially affecting global copper trade flows. In particular, the cost of refined copper imports to the US could rise significantly with potential tariffs. As market participants closely monitor statements from the Trump administration, movements in the price spread are seen as signaling the timing and scope of the tariff decision. These developments could lead to volatile copper prices in the short term. This is not investment advice.

📊 COPPER — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 55%

The headline highlights that Trump's tariffs have become a decisive factor in copper market price differentials, which could create uncertainty. Technical indicators, however, present a neutral outlook: RSI is balanced at 48.6, MACD is slightly below zero, and the price is just under the SMA20 and SMA50. The decline over the last 24 hours is limited (0.11%), indicating no strong selling pressure. In the short term, direction uncertainty prevails; tariff news could increase volatility, but the current technical structure does not provide a clear signal. Therefore, a sideways movement can be expected.

RSI 14
48.6
MACD
-0.01
24h Δ
-0.11%

📊 FCX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The headline highlights that Trump tariffs are a decisive factor in the copper market, potentially increasing trade uncertainty and putting pressure on FCX. Technical indicators also signal a sell-off: RSI at 30.7 is near oversold territory, MACD is negative and below the signal line. The price has closed below SMA20 and SMA50, and has lost 4.8% in the last 24 hours. In the short term, the downtrend may continue, but the low RSI level also points to a possible technical rebound. Therefore, while the direction is bearish, the confidence level is kept moderate.

RSI 14
30.7
MACD
-0.47
24h Δ
-4.80%

📊 SCCO — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The headline highlights that Trump's tariffs have become a decisive factor in copper market price differentials, which could create uncertainty and downward pressure for copper producer SCCO. Technical indicators also confirm weakness: RSI at 30.7 is near oversold territory, MACD is below the signal line and negative, and the price is below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The 5.46% decline over the last 24 hours indicates continued selling pressure. With negative short-term momentum, the price is likely to test the $185-$187 range; however, oversold conditions could trigger a technical rebound. Overall, the combination of tariff-related uncertainty and technical weakness suggests that downward movement is expected to persist over the 1-3 day horizon.

RSI 14
30.7
MACD
-1.63
24h Δ
-5.46%

📊 BHP — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

BHP shares have lost 3.6% in the last 24 hours, with the RSI at 27.3, nearing oversold territory. The MACD is in negative territory and below the signal line, indicating weak short-term momentum. News headlines highlight that Trump tariffs are becoming a decisive factor in the copper market price differential, which could create uncertainty for copper producers like BHP. The price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, painting a negative technical outlook. However, the RSI approaching oversold levels increases the likelihood of a short-term bounce, though the overall trend remains downward.

RSI 14
27.3
MACD
-0.57
24h Δ
-3.61%
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