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60/100 Neutral 19.08.2026 · 04:36 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 7 TR

New Address in Carry Trade: Which Currency Stands Out Instead of the Yen?

The Japanese yen, long a cornerstone of carry trade transactions in global financial markets, faces the risk of losing this position amid changing dynamics. Joint interventions by the US and Japanese central banks have increased the costs of borrowing in yen, reducing the appeal of this strategy. As investors seek lower-cost alternatives, attention has turned to another currency. Carry trade is a strategy known as borrowing in a low-interest currency and investing in a high-interest currency. The yen, long at the center of this practice, has recently become more volatile due to market interventions by both Japan and the US. This shift is altering investors' risk perception and negatively impacting the return potential of yen-denominated borrowing. As market participants search for a cheaper alternative to replace the yen, a particular currency stands out for this role. The new candidate is said to offer a more advantageous option for carry trade transactions, given current interest rate differentials and liquidity conditions. However, how this transition will affect the balance in global foreign exchange markets remains a question. Experts are assessing whether this change is merely a short-term fluctuation or a lasting trend. The yen losing its position could particularly impact trade flows in the Asia-Pacific region and investment decisions in emerging markets. Investors are expected to restructure their portfolios to adapt to this new equilibrium. This is not investment advice.

📊 JPY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The headline suggests that alternative currencies are gaining prominence in carry trades at the expense of the yen, which could exert selling pressure on the Japanese currency. Technical indicators show RSI at 38.8, indicating weak momentum, with price trading below the SMA20 and MACD below its signal line, supporting a short-term bearish trend. However, price remains above the SMA50 and has seen a slight increase over the last 24 hours, suggesting that downside may be limited. Overall, the news and technicals align to present a bearish outlook, though the lack of strong momentum signals lends only moderate confidence.

RSI 14
38.8
MACD
0.03
24h Δ
0.18%

📊 USDJPY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The headline suggests a search for alternatives to the yen's weakness in carry trades, which could exert selling pressure on the yen. Technical indicators show RSI at 35.7, nearing oversold territory, while MACD is negative and below its signal line, supporting a short-term bearish trend. The price is trading below the SMA20 and SMA50, indicating weak momentum. However, the downside is expected to be limited as RSI is already at low levels, and a possible corrective bounce may occur. Therefore, the direction is bearish, but with moderate confidence.

RSI 14
35.7
MACD
-0.03
24h Δ
-0.17%

📊 EURJPY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The headline suggests that investors are seeking alternatives to the yen in carry trades, which could exert additional selling pressure on the currency. Technical indicators show RSI at a weak 40, MACD below the signal line, and price below both the SMA20 and SMA50, supporting a short-term bearish trend. A slight negative change over the last 24 hours confirms downward momentum. However, the decline is expected to be limited as the SMA50 may act as nearby support. Therefore, the direction is down but with moderate confidence.

RSI 14
40.4
MACD
-0.02
24h Δ
-0.10%

📊 GBPJPY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The headline suggests that alternative currencies are coming to the fore in carry trades instead of the yen, which reinforces the perception that the yen may remain weak, but this is not a direct sell signal for GBPJPY. In technical indicators, the RSI at 35 is in the weak zone and the MACD is below the signal line, indicating short-term downward pressure. The price is trading slightly below the SMA20 and SMA50, indicating negative current momentum. However, the rate of change is very low (-0.17%) and the indicators are not in oversold territory, so a limited pullback is more likely than a sharp decline. Overall, a downward trend is at the forefront in the short term, but the confidence level is moderate.

RSI 14
35.2
MACD
-0.05
24h Δ
-0.17%
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