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62/100 Bullish 19.08.2026 · 05:20 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 9 TR

Strait of Hormuz Uncertainty Lifts Oil Prices for Fourth Day

Oil prices rose for a fourth consecutive session on Wednesday, as conflicting statements from the US and Iran over whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open to shipping heightened supply concerns. Uncertainty over the strait's status keeps the risk of supply disruptions at this critical global oil transit chokepoint on the agenda. Market participants noted that the inconsistency between the two countries' statements has increased the geopolitical risk premium, supporting upward price movement. Given the share of global oil supply that passes through the Strait of Hormuz, any disruption there can directly impact prices. Analysts suggest that if diplomatic tensions between the US and Iran persist, supply security concerns could deepen further. However, there has been no official confirmation that the strait is actually closed, which is fostering cautious optimism in the markets. Meanwhile, for prices to sustain this rally, geopolitical developments, along with global demand data and inventory changes, need to be closely monitored. Investors remain vigilant, particularly regarding potential new US sanctions or diplomatic moves toward Iran. This is not investment advice.

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

Uncertainty in the Strait of Hormuz is keeping supply risk perceptions alive, supporting oil prices. Technical indicators also confirm this outlook; the RSI is in bullish territory at 59, the MACD is above its signal line, and the price is above both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. In the short term, upward momentum may continue, but volatility could remain high depending on geopolitical developments. Therefore, I anticipate a limited increase rather than a strong rally.

RSI 14
59.0
MACD
0.28
24h Δ
0.22%

📊 WTI — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

Uncertainty in the Strait of Hormuz is keeping supply disruption concerns alive, supporting oil prices. On the technical indicators, the RSI is at 53, in neutral territory, while the MACD is just below the signal line but above zero, indicating weak positive momentum. The price is trading above the SMA20 and SMA50, with the short-term trend pointing upward. However, a slight decline over the last 24 hours and the MACD being below the signal suggest that the upside may be limited. As long as geopolitical risks persist, the price could test the $85 resistance level.

RSI 14
53.5
MACD
0.17
24h Δ
-0.68%

📊 XOM — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

Ongoing uncertainty in the Strait of Hormuz continues to support oil prices, creating a positive environment for energy stocks. XOM has risen 4.46% over the last 24 hours, with its RSI entering overbought territory at 72.9, indicating strong short-term momentum. The MACD remains above its signal line and positive, suggesting that the upward trend could continue. However, the overbought RSI level also brings the risk of short-term consolidation or a minor pullback. Overall, geopolitical risks and technical indicators support an upward move in the near term, but caution is warranted given the overbought conditions.

RSI 14
72.9
MACD
1.59
24h Δ
4.46%

📊 CVX — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 60%

Ongoing uncertainty in the Strait of Hormuz continues to support oil prices, which could have a positive impact on energy stocks. CVX shares have risen 4.1% in the last 24 hours, with the RSI at 81, entering overbought territory, which may trigger some profit-taking in the short term. The MACD remains above the signal line and positive, indicating that upward momentum persists. However, given overbought conditions and the fact that geopolitical news has been priced in, upside movement is likely to be limited. High volatility is expected in the near term, but the trend direction still appears upward.

RSI 14
81.5
MACD
2.11
24h Δ
4.14%
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