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75/100 Bearish 26.08.2026 · 13:32 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 57 TR

Inflation Data Raises Odds of Fed Rate Hike

According to Reuters, the latest inflation data has slightly increased the likelihood of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) raising interest rates. Market participants assess that the Fed may adopt a more cautious approach toward tightening monetary policy following the data. The stronger-than-expected inflation has brought to the fore the need for Fed officials to keep current interest rates higher for longer or to raise them again. This could lead to higher yields in bond markets and increased selling pressure in equity markets. Analysts note that the data will be decisive in the Fed's next steps at upcoming meetings. In particular, the stickiness in core inflation indicators suggests that it may take time for the central bank to reach its 2% inflation target. Markets are focused on statements from the Fed Chair and other officials. Investors will closely monitor data releases and speeches this week for clues on monetary policy. This is not investment advice.

📊 GOOGL — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The inflation data increasing the likelihood of a Fed rate hike could put pressure on risk assets and negatively impact growth stocks such as GOOGL. Technical indicators support this outlook; the RSI at 36.8 is in the weak zone, and the MACD is below its signal line, indicating negative momentum. The price is trading below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, confirming a short-term downtrend. However, the decline may be limited, as the stock lost 0.9% in the last close and is approaching oversold territory. Investors should be cautious of potential selling pressure following the rate hike news, but the possibility of a sudden rebound should not be overlooked.

RSI 14
36.8
MACD
-0.72
24h Δ
-0.91%

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The inflation data increasing the likelihood of a Fed rate hike could dampen risk appetite and create selling pressure on the S&P 500 (SPX) in the short term. Technical indicators also support this outlook; the RSI is in a weak zone at 47, and the MACD is below its signal line in negative territory. The price is just above the SMA20 but below the SMA50, suggesting that upside movement may remain limited. The slight decline over the past 24 hours could accelerate on the back of the news. However, a strong catalyst may be needed for the decline to deepen, so I expect a downward move with moderate confidence.

RSI 14
47.0
MACD
-4.18
24h Δ
-0.14%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The inflation data increasing the likelihood of a Fed rate hike could dampen risk appetite and create short-term selling pressure on the NDX. Technically, the price is attempting to hold just above the 20-day moving average (29144), but remaining below the 50-day average (29334) signals weakness. The RSI is neutral at 47, and the MACD is negative but approaching its signal line, indicating that momentum is not yet strong. Combining the news flow and technical outlook, the index is likely to test the 29100 support level, though the downside is expected to be limited.

RSI 14
47.0
MACD
-44.65
24h Δ
-0.42%

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

The inflation data increasing the likelihood of a Fed rate hike can be seen as supportive news for the dollar index (DXY). Technical indicators also support this view; RSI at 67 indicates a strong buying zone, and MACD shows positive momentum above the signal line. The price is trading above the SMA20 and SMA50, with a short-term upward trend. However, the RSI approaching overbought territory and the possibility that the news may already be priced in suggest that the upside could be limited. Therefore, while an upward movement is expected in the short term, the possibility of encountering strong resistance should not be overlooked.

RSI 14
67.0
MACD
0.05
24h Δ
0.25%
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