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67/100 Bearish 31.08.2026 · 11:38 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 48 TR

Futures Fall on US Strike on Iran and Rate Hike Expectations

The US military operation against Iran and rising expectations of further interest rate hikes have dampened risk appetite in global markets. Against this backdrop, Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures contracts lost value in the new session. Investors are closely monitoring geopolitical tensions as well as signals from central banks regarding monetary policy. The US strike on Iran has increased volatility in energy prices, raising concerns that inflationary pressures could persist. This has strengthened bets that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may raise interest rates further. Money markets have begun pricing in a more hawkish stance by the Fed in upcoming meetings. In addition to geopolitical risks, investors are focused on upcoming economic data and Fed officials' forward guidance. In particular, inflation and employment data will play a critical role in determining the rate path. These developments have increased selling pressure in equity markets while supporting demand for assets perceived as safe havens. Analysts note that geopolitical uncertainties and monetary policy uncertainties could keep market volatility elevated for some time. Investors are advised to adopt a cautious approach to protect their portfolios against these risks. This is not investment advice.

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The news headline indicates that rising geopolitical risks and expectations of interest rate hikes are putting pressure on futures indices. In technical indicators, the RSI is in neutral territory (51.7) and the MACD is below its signal line, suggesting weakening short-term momentum. Although the price remains above the SMA20 and SMA50, the news flow could create negative sentiment. Therefore, the probability of a downward move in the 1-3 day perspective appears increased, but since the current technical structure is not completely broken, the confidence level is kept at medium.

RSI 14
51.7
MACD
9.41
24h Δ
0.55%

📊 DJI — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The news headline indicates that rising geopolitical risks and expectations of interest rate hikes are putting pressure on index futures. This could reduce risk appetite in the short term and lead to downward movement in the index. Technical indicators are giving mixed signals; RSI is at a neutral level, while MACD has generated a sell signal. Although the price being above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages provides support, the negative news flow may tilt the bias toward a decline. However, the impact could be limited, as the index is in a strong uptrend and the persistence of the news is uncertain.

RSI 14
51.5
MACD
34.99
24h Δ
0.04%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The news headline indicates that rising geopolitical risks and expectations of interest rate hikes are putting pressure on stock index futures. Such negative news could reduce risk appetite in the short term and create selling pressure on the NDX. Technical indicators are giving mixed signals; the RSI is in neutral territory, the MACD is below its signal line, and the price is just above the SMA20 and SMA50. Therefore, a downward move could be expected, but further confirmation is needed for a strong trend to develop.

RSI 14
51.4
MACD
54.85
24h Δ
0.97%

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The news headline is negatively impacting risk appetite due to rising geopolitical risks and strengthening expectations of interest rate hikes. This situation could increase demand for safe-haven assets and support the DXY in the short term, but declines in futures indices and rate hike expectations may limit excessive dollar strength. In technical indicators, the RSI is in neutral territory, the MACD is below the signal line, and the price is below the SMA20, indicating weak momentum and short-term downward pressure. Being above the SMA50 maintains medium-term support, but when combining the news flow and technical outlook, the probability of a slight pullback in the DXY within 1-3 days stands out.

RSI 14
51.5
MACD
0.05
24h Δ
0.32%
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