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64/100 Neutral 03.09.2026 · 08:44 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 48 TR

BOJ Prepares for September Rate Hike: 25 Basis Points on the Agenda

The likelihood of the Bank of Japan (BOJ) raising interest rates at its September meeting is strengthening. Market participants have begun pricing in a potential 25 basis point increase in the policy rate. This development is boosting expectations that Japan's monetary policy normalization process will continue. The BOJ's move is closely tied to inflation running above target and wage increases supporting consumption. Central bank officials have signaled that gradual tightening could continue if economic data align with expectations. However, global economic uncertainties and exchange rate volatility remain key factors closely monitored in the decision-making process. Analysts note that a potential rate hike could provide support for the Japanese yen but may pressure the profitability of export-oriented companies. Additionally, the BOJ's step could trigger volatility in global bond markets. In particular, interaction with the policies of the U.S. and European central banks is critical for market direction. Japan's stock indices are trading mixed on rate hike expectations. Banking stocks benefit from improved interest margins, while shares of highly leveraged companies may face pressure. Investors will closely watch inflation and growth data due ahead of the BOJ's September meeting. This is not investment advice.

📊 GOOGL — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 55%

Expectations of a Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike could limit global risk appetite, potentially weighing on technology stocks. However, technical indicators for GOOGL do not signal a strong short-term decline, as the RSI sits at 57 in neutral territory and the MACD remains positive above its signal line. The price is trading above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, indicating that support levels are holding. The news flow and macroeconomic uncertainties do not provide sufficient catalysts to clarify the stock's direction. Therefore, a sideways movement is expected over a 1-3 day horizon.

RSI 14
57.3
MACD
0.78
24h Δ
1.30%

📊 USDJPY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

The possibility of a Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike is providing strong support for the yen, potentially exerting downward pressure on USDJPY. Technical indicators also support this outlook; although the RSI at 22 is in oversold territory, the MACD is in negative territory and the price is below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages. The downtrend may continue in the short term, but some technical rebound could occur due to oversold conditions. Therefore, while the direction is expected to be downward, it is with moderate confidence rather than strong conviction.

RSI 14
22.1
MACD
-0.89
24h Δ
-1.88%

📊 N225 — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 65%

With the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) likelihood of raising interest rates strengthening once again, this could exert pressure on Japanese equities. Technical indicators already show a weak outlook, with the RSI at 35.7 approaching oversold territory and the MACD in negative territory. The price has closed below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, supporting a short-term downtrend. Given the combination of news flow and technical structure, the risk of the index declining further within 1-3 days appears high. However, since oversold conditions have not yet been established, any decline is expected to remain limited.

RSI 14
35.7
MACD
-429.64
24h Δ
-2.81%

📊 TOPIX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 70%

The possibility of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) could dampen global risk appetite and adversely affect capital flows to emerging markets. In this environment, Turkish markets may also be impacted by weakening foreign investor sentiment. Additionally, the unwinding of yen carry trade positions could create selling pressure on emerging market currencies and equities. In the short term, a cautious trend is expected in BIST and Turkish lira-denominated assets.

RSI 14
—
MACD
—
24h Δ
0.00%
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