CBRT September Market Participants Survey: Year-End CPI Expectation Rises
The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) has published its September Market Participants Survey. According to the survey, market participants' year-end Consumer Price Index (CPI) increase expectation was revised upwards compared to the previous period.
The participants' year-end CPI increase expectation rose to 29.61% in the September survey, up from 29.43% in the previous survey period. This development indicates a limited deterioration in inflation expectations.
The Market Participants Survey stands out as an important indicator that the CBRT takes into account in its monetary policy decisions and inflation targeting regime. The survey results are followed for reflecting market players' perceptions regarding price stability.
This upward update in the year-end inflation expectation may also affect expectations regarding the future monetary policy stance. The CBRT had stated in previous announcements that it closely monitors deviations in inflation expectations and will take necessary policy steps.
Not investment advice.
📊 EURTRY — Piyasa Yorumu
▲ up · 35%The upward revision of the year-end CPI expectation in the CBRT survey points to upside risks to the inflation outlook and could create mild depreciation pressure on the Turkish lira. However, EURTRY technical indicators present a mixed picture: RSI at 48 is neutral, MACD is very close to its signal line, and the price is just below its SMA20/SMA50 averages. Therefore, the news may have a limited short-term impact. The survey data alone is not a strong catalyst; the market is more focused on the CBRT's rate path and global risk appetite. Nevertheless, the deterioration in inflation expectations could increase fragility in the lira and create a slight upward bias in EURTRY.
RSI 14
48.2
MACD
-0.01
24h Δ
0.11%
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