US 10-Year Treasury Yield Exceeds 5% for First Time Since 2023
📊 GLD — Piyasa Yorumu
▼ down · 60%The US 10-year Treasury yield exceeding 5% is a negative factor for gold. The rise in yields increases the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold and could strengthen the dollar. Although GLD's RSI at 30.9 is near oversold territory, the MACD is negative and the price is trading below both the SMA20 and SMA50. In the short term, downward pressure may continue, but oversold conditions could lead to a limited rebound. Nevertheless, I expect a downward trend within 1-3 days due to the news impact.
📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu
▲ up · 70%The US 10-year Treasury yield surpassing 5% is generally a positive signal for the dollar index, as higher yields encourage foreign capital inflows. Technical indicators also support an upward trend: the price is above the 20- and 50-day moving averages, and the RSI at 65 is approaching overbought territory but has not yet given a sell signal. The MACD is positive and above the signal line, indicating strong short-term momentum. However, the high RSI level and the risk that the news may already be priced in suggest that the upward movement could be limited. Nevertheless, a moderate rise in the dollar index can be expected in the 1-3 day horizon.