Fed Raises Rates After 3 Years: Warsh Catches Trump Off Guard

The US Federal Reserve (Fed) raised its policy rate by 25 basis points, in line with market expectations. With this decision, the Fed has raised rates for the first time since 2023. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh announced that the policy rate was increased by 25 basis points. The decision was in line with expectations. On the other hand, Warsh's rate hike decision, who is known as Trump's pick, was interpreted as a surprise move against Trump. Warsh's remark "Cut immediately" drew attention. The rate hike was recorded as the first tightening step after a 3-year hiatus. Not investment advice.

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 55%

The Fed's first rate hike in 3 years and Warsh's hawkish tone are supportive for DXY in the short term. However, the price is already above the SMA20 and SMA50, and with RSI at 55, it is not in overbought territory; MACD is slightly below the signal line, indicating limited momentum. The 24-hour change is nearly flat (0.06%), suggesting the market may have digested the news. In the 1-3 day outlook, I expect a moderate upward bias, but the 100 level may act as resistance. Confidence level: medium.

RSI 14

55.7

MACD

0.04

24h Δ

0.06%

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

The Fed's first interest rate hike in three years and Warsh's hawkish stance against Trump are developments suppressing risk appetite. The S&P 500 has already fallen 1.49% in 24 hours, with an RSI of 37 indicating weakness but nearing oversold territory. The price is below the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages, and the MACD is negative and below its signal line; short-term momentum is downward. The rate hike news confirms this technical weakness, but the low RSI level suggests that some of the sharp selling has been priced in. Downward pressure may persist for 1-3 days, but a rebound could occur.

RSI 14

37.7

MACD

-17.28

24h Δ

-1.49%

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