Hawkish Fed Lifts Dollar to Seven-Week High, Eyes on BOJ

The hawkish stance of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) has driven the dollar to its highest level in seven weeks. Expectations that the Fed will continue raising interest rates have supported the dollar index, while investors' focus has shifted to the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) monetary policy meeting. The Fed's hawkish policy, particularly amid rising bond yields, has strengthened the dollar against other currencies. The dollar also gained against the Japanese yen, reaching its highest level in seven weeks. Markets are now awaiting the BOJ's interest rate decision and possible policy changes. If the BOJ maintains its ultra-loose monetary policy, pressure on the yen is expected to persist. However, the possibility of a BOJ policy shift is also being closely watched. The strengthening dollar could also put pressure on emerging market currencies and commodity prices. Investors are watching for signals on whether the Fed's rate hike cycle will continue. Not investment advice.

📊 GOOGL — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 55%

A hawkish Fed strengthens the dollar, which could create short-term pressure on risk assets like GOOGL. Technical indicators are mixed: RSI at 49 is neutral, MACD is below the signal line, and the price is slightly below the 20-day SMA, indicating a weak trend. However, support at the 50-day SMA and a positive 24-hour change suggest limited downside risk. A stronger dollar and BOJ uncertainty could reduce global risk appetite. Therefore, I expect a slight downward bias over the next 1-3 days, but there is no strong signal for a definitive decline.

RSI 14

49.4

MACD

1.06

24h Δ

0.97%

📊 USDJPY — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 55%

The hawkish Fed expectation provides fundamental upward support for USDJPY, but the price has declined 0.32% in the last 24 hours to 155.54, trading below the SMA20 (155.73). The RSI at 46 is in neutral-weak territory, and the MACD is below its signal line (0.193 vs 0.248), indicating weakening short-term momentum. Uncertainty regarding the BOJ and possible intervention risk may limit upward movement. Therefore, the news impact may be limited positive; fluctuation is expected in the 155.30-155.80 range. In the 1-3 day outlook, a slight upward bias, but a close above 155.75 is needed for confirmation.

RSI 14

46.3

MACD

0.19

24h Δ

-0.32%

📊 DXY — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 65%

As hawkish Fed expectations drive the DXY to a seven-week peak, the price is trading above the 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages at 100.19. The RSI is at 61, approaching overbought territory but not yet confirming; the MACD remains slightly below its signal line but in positive territory. The 24-hour gain of 0.59% indicates short-term upward momentum. Volatility in the dollar index may increase ahead of the BOJ decision; hawkish Fed rhetoric is the main supporting factor. In the 1-3 day outlook, the upward trend may persist, but the risk of a BOJ surprise should not be ignored.

RSI 14

61.1

MACD

0.16

24h Δ

0.59%

📊 N225 — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 55%

A hawkish Fed and a strengthening dollar pose short-term risks for Japanese equities; although exporters are supported by a weak yen, BOJ uncertainty could create selling pressure. Technical indicators are mixed: the price is slightly above the 20-day SMA but below the 50-day SMA, RSI is neutral, and MACD is below the signal line. This outlook suggests limited upside momentum, with downside risk more dominant. Hawkish signals from the BOJ or further dollar strengthening could accelerate selling. I expect a mild downward trend in the 1-3 day horizon.

RSI 14

51.5

MACD

15.42

24h Δ

0.92%

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