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76/100 Bearish 19.09.2026 · 13:26 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 42 TR

Fed Raises Rates: What Does History Say for Stock Markets?

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), led by Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, decided to raise the policy interest rate. This move stands out as a significant step toward tightening monetary policy. Interest rate hikes are generally considered a factor that can put pressure on stock markets. Investors may reduce their risk appetite due to concerns that borrowing costs will rise and corporate profitability could be negatively affected. According to the source, 36 years of historical data show that a certain trend has emerged in stock markets following interest rate hike cycles. However, these historical patterns do not guarantee future performance. Market participants will continue to closely monitor the Fed's next steps and economic data. The impact of interest rate decisions on stock valuations could be decisive in the coming period. Not investment advice.

📊 JST — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 55%

The Fed's interest rate hike could reduce risk appetite and create short-term pressure on crypto assets. JST has declined 2% in the last 24 hours, showing weakness, and with an RSI of 49, it is in neutral territory, with no oversold signal. The MACD is positive but very close to the signal line, indicating weak momentum. The price is trying to hold just above the SMA20 and SMA50; if it falls below these levels, the decline could accelerate. The impact of the news may be limited because the market may have largely priced in the rate hike.

RSI 14
49.4
MACD
0.00
24h Δ
-2.04%

📊 SPX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

A Fed rate hike is generally a negative factor for stocks in the short term, as it increases borrowing costs and pressures valuations. However, the current technical picture is mixed: RSI at 57 is not in overbought territory, and the price is just above the SMA20 and SMA50, indicating some resistance. MACD is positive and above the signal line, but momentum is weak. Since the news headline contains a historical question, the market reaction may be limited. Nevertheless, I believe that short-term downside risk has increased after the rate hike.

RSI 14
57.5
MACD
6.17
24h Δ
0.76%

📊 NDX — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

A Fed rate hike is generally a negative signal for stocks, but the market reaction depends on the news and expectations. The NDX has risen 2.29% in the last 24 hours and the RSI at 67.9 is approaching overbought territory, increasing the risk of a short-term correction. The MACD is positive and the price is above the SMA20 and SMA50, so the technical picture remains strong. With the rate hike news, profit-taking may emerge and the index could come under downward pressure. Nevertheless, since the details of the news and the extent to which the market has priced in the rate hike are uncertain, the bearish signal is moderately reliable.

RSI 14
67.9
MACD
97.90
24h Δ
2.29%

📊 DJI — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 60%

A Fed rate hike is generally a negative signal for stocks, as it increases borrowing costs and pressures corporate profitability. The DJI is currently at 51,656 and is showing weak performance with a 0.70% decline in 24 hours. The RSI is at 42, not yet approaching oversold territory, indicating potential for further declines. The MACD is negative and below the signal line, confirming short-term downward momentum. The price is trading below both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, supporting a weak technical outlook. Downward pressure is likely to continue over the next 1-3 days, but if oversold conditions develop, a rebound may occur.

RSI 14
42.1
MACD
-135.32
24h Δ
-0.70%
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