Trump's New Sanctions Law: 100% Tariff Risk for Russian Oil and Natural Gas Buyers

US President Donald Trump signed a new sanctions law that enables the imposition of additional tariffs of up to 100% on major buyers of Russian oil and natural gas. The law grants Washington the authority to impose trade restrictions on these countries. An automatic tax on Turkey has not yet been implemented. However, a critical 30-day process has begun for the US administration to use this authority. During this period, uncertainty regarding possible tariff steps continues. Under the law, additional tariffs on countries importing Russian energy resources may be as high as 100%. This could significantly increase the energy import costs of these countries. Turkey is a significant buyer of Russian oil and natural gas. The new sanctions regime has the potential to affect Turkey's energy supply strategy and trade balances. The steps the US will take in the upcoming 30-day period and a possible tariff decision on Turkey will be closely monitored. Not investment advice.

📊 BRENT — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 55%

Brent crude fell sharply by 6.2% in the last 24 hours to $97.70, with the RSI at 31.5 approaching oversold territory; this increases the likelihood of a short-term rebound. A new sanctions bill targeting buyers of Russian oil and gas with a 100% tariff risk could trigger supply concerns and support prices upward. However, the MACD remains negative and slightly below the signal line, and the price is trading below the SMA20 and SMA50, indicating that the current downtrend has not yet reversed. Given that the news has not yet been enacted into law and implementation uncertainty, the impact may be limited, and a breakout above the $99.00-$100.00 resistance zone is needed for a sustained rally. Overall, while a mild upward reaction is expected in the short term, additional confirmation is required for a strong trend reversal.

RSI 14

31.5

MACD

-1.13

24h Δ

-6.22%

📊 NATGAS — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 55%

The news creates an expectation of restricted global natural gas supply due to the risk of a 100% tariff on Russian oil and natural gas buyers, which carries potential for an upward effect on NATGAS in the short term. However, current technical indicators are indecisive: RSI is neutral at 48, MACD is slightly below the signal line, and the price is just below the 20- and 50-day moving averages (2.886). The 0.84% increase in the last 24 hours indicates limited buyer interest. Considering that the sanctions news has not yet been priced in and geopolitical developments can change rapidly, I assess that the upward movement may remain limited and volatility may increase. Therefore, I foresee a cautious upward trend in the 1-3 day outlook.

RSI 14

48.4

MACD

0.00

24h Δ

0.84%

Canlı Grafikler