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78/100 Bullish 11.11.2026 · 17:05 Finrend AI ⏱ 1 dk 👁 5 TR

London Aluminum Market Faces Biggest Supply Crunch in Decades

Aluminum buyers on the London Metal Exchange (LME) are facing a supply crunch unseen in decades. The rapid erosion of stocks backing exchange-traded contracts and the fact that most remaining stocks are controlled by just two traders have created a severe squeeze in the market. The sharp decline in aluminum inventory in LME warehouses is narrowing the supply of metal available for delivery. The holding of a significant portion of remaining stocks by two major traders further limits the amount of free metal buyers can access to meet short-term needs. This raises concerns that contract holders in the futures market may struggle to meet physical delivery demands. The supply crunch could increase roll costs, especially for market participants with short positions, and fuel volatility in futures prices. Market observers note that the decline in stocks and concentrated stock control are affecting the price structure of LME aluminum contracts. How long the squeeze lasts appears to depend on whether inflows into stocks occur and to what extent existing stocks are offered to the market. Not investment advice.

📊 JST — Piyasa Yorumu

■ neutral · 30%

The news headline pertains to the aluminum market and does not appear to have a direct connection to the JST (JUST) token; therefore, its impact on the symbol should be limited. Technical indicators point to a sideways trend: the price is very close to the SMA20 and SMA50, the RSI is at 56 in neutral territory, and the MACD is slightly above the signal line but weak. The 24-hour change is around 0.5%, with no clear momentum. Although news themed around commodity supply tightness can sometimes indirectly affect risk appetite, it is not a concrete catalyst for JST. A neutral-to-sideways outlook is expected in the short term.

RSI 14
56.3
MACD
0.00
24h Δ
0.51%

📊 ALUMINUM — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 55%

The news points to a supply bottleneck and is supportive of prices in the medium term. However, a sharp 3.8% decline over the past 24 hours and the price trading below SMA20/SMA50 indicate short-term weakness. RSI at 58 is in neutral territory, and MACD is positive above the signal line but momentum is weak. The supply news could trigger buying on dips; nevertheless, given the fragile technical picture, cautious optimism is appropriate. A limited upward reaction is expected within 1-3 days, and a close above SMA20 should be watched for confirmation.

RSI 14
58.4
MACD
1.42
24h Δ
-3.83%

📊 AA — Piyasa Yorumu

▲ up · 62%

The news of an aluminum supply squeeze serves as a fundamental positive catalyst for aluminum producer AA. The price is already above its 20- and 50-day moving averages and has risen 3.7% in 24 hours; the RSI stands at 60, not yet in overbought territory, indicating there is room for further upside. The MACD is above its signal line and positive, supporting short-term momentum. However, I remain cautious due to the possibility that the news is already priced in and the lag in commodity news being reflected in the stock. I expect a moderate upward bias over the 1-3 day outlook.

RSI 14
60.3
MACD
0.18
24h Δ
3.73%
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