CBRT Governor Karahan: 2026 Year-End Inflation Forecast Raised to 29.5%

Turkey's Central Bank (CBRT) Governor Karahan announced that the inflation forecast for the end of 2026 has been revised upward. Karahan stated that the updated forecast was set at 29.5%. The revision means that expectations regarding the inflation outlook have been updated upward. Karahan's statement shows that inflation forecasts retain their importance in shaping the monetary policy stance. This change in the Central Bank's forecast path stands out as a development that market participants will closely follow with regard to inflation expectations and monetary policy steps. This is not investment advice.

📊 EURTRY — Piyasa Yorumu

▼ down · 40%

The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey's (CBRT) upward revision of its 2026 year-end inflation forecast to 29.5%, a revision above market expectations, could create mild pressure on the Turkish lira. However, the RSI is hovering neutrally around 50 and, although the MACD remains below its signal line, it is narrowing in negative territory; this suggests that selling pressure may remain limited. The price is just above the SMA20 but below the SMA50; a sideways-to-weak trend is likely in the short term. The inflation forecast increase alone is not a strong directional signal, as the market may have partially priced it in. For this reason, I forecast a mildly upward (against the lira) but low-confidence trend for EURTRY.

RSI 14

50.5

MACD

-0.05

24h Δ

-0.05%

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